Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
2 W+ B  [& K+ F" ZNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
, o) A7 i1 I0 C, G) M
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
' B. |9 P6 C" X! u3 l
% l1 f2 W: l; A; E; W7 P* |1 GOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

" o/ @" J6 A( p7 HSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
' [6 s6 F# Q2 X
Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
4 R" p) l: e5 u6 Y0 D# x1 _ NA
2328
' H1 ?$ D6 c' g9 t4 h$ Y 717
442,752
410,000
! t4 J# o  T# R+ t1 y* W4 }0 o& V 320
3 J( ~$ z1 Y  T5 X* Z" T2 A9 } 28
31%

Jun 2007
NA
2661
0 H7 _+ g% e" u2 r0 o. k/ P; I 1011
442,817
409,000
328
( v) e1 I! y5 X+ n5 H% B& Z6 k 22
8 Y4 i- Y2 S9 W& s) O7 s4 q# ]- B 38%

  ]+ {: }9 I2 c0 `, BMay 2007
' V# m+ s- I4 |' X' i( B NA
2288
- S9 d6 s# I* Z6 o' O 1261
451,216
415,000
) O1 N+ I2 H6 J! l% X3 `4 I 322
6 H6 W& Q4 L, b) [0 y4 X 19
1 c  g6 F5 k' T8 j 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

: e9 \9 |! `4 B" h* S2 @. Z
用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
( p% ^4 T+ @* P: |2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
3 u' l) S" m& {* `) e7 j+ m鉴定完毕！

0 o& T. z# X3 f0 w. U/ N! g呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

- O5 H& e- `  |  N% [9 A这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

9 ^0 e4 V) v7 G: n& Z

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
. l1 S; h& }0 K! d) c$ v; ^! ZDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
8 L# B0 t* X4 i1 N8 s' X. i. H1 ^good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
! h5 |$ d' F+ j" Y8 ^$ PIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

9 a* x, z' @& q- J$ e
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
+ X2 c  f+ A/ Y/ {6 O2 u7 z  JEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
" |4 }7 J, f& m5 m; F1 sIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
' V! w$ z/ G3 e2 ~3 tNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

+ L1 [/ @. Q+ A, K: TQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

" T' |" M; q, c2 @

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
# x, j! k; C4 J2 u! G8 S8 \" g" j1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

6 T! O7 S( D! Y* f
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
2 r& V+ h" D; t. c6 b


, J- x% |/ o2 |5 H/ t7 o4 j只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
; r8 t% u  w. i4 Q  L看来，观察days inventory 更重要。