Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
& ^8 }$ Z& h- n/ O5 v1 |* ?5 pMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
* `. }: ^# W# l$ y
Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
/ X( R+ _" N3 ]6 a' G* P3 P. W% p$ a
Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
& D/ y9 Z' y( M$ e" f
6 N  n% P+ A6 X2 L/ \Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
& E" B0 p3 t4 m
: R. D1 q, e- T3 s* x7 _( GAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
/ q+ |: w/ Y9 p
Jul 2007
4 ~9 Y  a5 q5 p' ? NA
2328
717
442,752
410,000
320
/ @1 Z9 P. i3 E7 j; U 28
31%
' P2 J  \5 u' j! a" k
Jun 2007
% ~- |4 J" z1 `! a+ u& k; _4 y NA
2661
( ~3 o8 A( p2 _" Q# z 1011
442,817
9 f8 L  Z, g. g9 u6 p- W 409,000
' t' J5 c+ x7 M7 m' Y# v 328
6 F! a2 z/ N  q; L2 A. J& @8 n 22
38%

! m1 P+ L- u" i! U3 o! q- zMay 2007
NA
: C$ y# `: y: {% c- Q 2288
1261
451,216
4 h0 S' O  z" l) P1 F: h# o 415,000
  q; q1 y/ V4 P$ H6 H 322
; v+ o# S. `4 V: P. C: I 19
9 b4 n1 N) H7 e" ?; {3 Y 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
) Y( I/ V+ r. y1 S. {这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
! W- f; U* r. W4 y3 P  D0 p3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
7 Z$ I) ]4 i3 v% n存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
# o6 D3 O5 G' s+ @鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

/ ]7 v4 o3 T5 k9 p0 O# e就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
" H3 k$ X' b( t+ `Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
% M& F% j1 i% wDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
2 a* U/ b# a" g6 }4 }+ mHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
  B$ N/ T* k. t1 K9 rThat is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
) @+ B3 g  J8 j: P1 KIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
; ^$ L3 O- X& F. c2 |4 K6 W3 SIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

9 d# S! X* |: I) w' M& {I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
- q% f% A  A8 W5 b  D7 I) E* {: jNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表

( c. T, D* h/ M9 o6 k' i+ Z! G
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
. y9 g3 h1 i4 X: }6 s  Z& c2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
$ a- K* v. R2 Q( ?; _3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

& K, D0 H8 u1 Z# a/ y/ ^1 h
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
$ A; H% h0 [+ a8 s7 I7 k6 e* \7 G9 e


只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。