Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

, O  W% S3 y+ u8 N3 jDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

0 [- b* M- x8 ^! `( m  SOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

( i! c5 L) @8 ^4 {9 L/ G% cSep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

: J% |* a/ K/ J  EAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
/ f  v$ P; {- Q; \
# H" z, Z, L3 T# jJul 2007
NA
2 s1 \4 w4 f6 u, a 2328
* A. x2 Z' ^1 f- }9 X- {, ]8 L 717
3 Y4 H$ f+ y8 a 442,752
9 i$ K, z+ y5 h5 ?1 f 410,000
320
28
3 j: N4 T+ x! D, [9 G1 p! L 31%

Jun 2007
* `! q2 J5 T3 h2 n0 ~2 c. A/ v NA
2661
1011
; I. Q2 i  O$ A$ V  K3 r 442,817
1 K" z) R; J4 F  q  \ 409,000
3 E5 r- N  A+ T0 T 328
8 l% v. j; L# n* z* W9 u; \9 ` 22
38%
7 M- ?4 N) U$ ]# A8 [& T$ L3 x
- K6 J1 K5 h4 A, s5 e. G( BMay 2007
# E4 g& R" P$ o5 L& e+ z/ ~9 @ NA
2288
3 G/ m0 W9 v0 |# s6 M 1261
451,216
415,000
322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
% f. l5 o* ~6 D5 |/ B5 a鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

; [: `, J) }, Q- [5 l' k/ k% ?
/ L0 \) ]# x* p% n用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
. ?2 r  R- O. N; F4 G/ n" a2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
5 ]1 X; a' F; n2 I* S3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

* n. Q$ U4 v, r& v9 g
5 e  K' f4 T0 v" U" o5 t6 `呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

2 V* U6 }# }# y7 n% o这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

/ G8 `1 S4 D/ Q, y$ q

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

% F& X2 g, W: `# j$ Z: e2 D" O

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
/ H5 ~2 I4 E3 rEdmonton Single Family Home
+ o1 ^% Y0 h+ N6 F  ?7 SMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
' o5 H& T" ~+ W! MIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
( A. C* a$ I" C$ L" o. cNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

* a' z. x: K8 O: J' W3 o3 \QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
6 c: `4 D) o8 V

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

! b4 f) ~5 |+ G/ |

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
) T4 G3 ?  q; T  d1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
* w7 Y1 [. R  r1 ?' \! A4 \2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
; e/ b8 b+ h3 ^$ C& \3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

& L# I' x$ @2 Y/ L7 u下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

  t2 {/ z$ X) J
" N, v1 R( v0 Z* K9 [' j  w
只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。