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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. + c) r' Q8 B8 s9 k, F4 J, e4 p" c
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. , K% n4 F2 G# b- h9 u* n
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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7 |7 Y6 @" C8 {% w/ g, w) u, PNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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; e0 z" q( a( ~7 f5 ]It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.. N1 ]% B; i. p* H8 A, C
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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' w8 h6 }% z$ |7 A, ^5 rHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." * x. w0 I' X' {0 z$ q1 [4 c
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. . w4 N7 x3 {4 [& h" m
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. : [& [: s8 A) i. Z" J K1 {
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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* J" x& H( M$ S% GCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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