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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. % D4 u# T+ S; e
) M. ?" E0 F# VThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. C( v$ w8 i% T3 w3 U8 K6 a
( r _/ j1 r: j0 l# D2 A; Y$ {- ]Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.6 ^8 f$ ]4 v5 j% z- L
3 Y% m& D8 x: l: s" ?" x"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." - w: l1 V/ C5 O+ w8 n3 Z) r& [3 l' ?
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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8 f/ X( F- I- Z7 F3 o5 jThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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) I/ T% l& [8 U& L' K' J5 C$ ^# QCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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