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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight; |! j; [9 T# t" q: o1 ^! M7 I9 |
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly9 o( d* }6 |# E. ~
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 b' S8 j1 o8 v+ ?% ]" `
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.1 {: E$ `+ Q1 H. t& Y8 |
, |+ B8 C+ c% a j+ W# pThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
6 V! I" |8 a, i8 c3 t5 [) _strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ _( }) N( ?/ NUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 T W8 u3 u! O8 @3 c
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.: H, F9 x0 D& Y. n3 ^5 ]' D! @
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal- J+ j7 N9 i: ~ u, @
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 ]: Z0 D4 m# @7 Z7 s# M! evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
\1 X, M* P! C1 m& M5 \' Vin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 L E9 S/ g. G4 d C9 \important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the0 ]* m) |3 {* I9 f4 e6 p4 J
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
' B* v0 T8 Z' H4 X f% pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
% q0 c# M' L0 p4 e1 Lin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- D8 `% I: ~& n& | zGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with$ J6 x) L7 d" R/ i: r3 d: \# r
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more% V7 H6 D% S j% `. ]( f) S
balanced recovery.! i1 Q. M& E( `5 {! I8 u
7 _ M" x+ v$ @2 A# B+ {# Y: aCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects3 v/ M2 X/ q! \; Q. L
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
( h( X/ S3 A5 q9 Dsupply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and4 R" h! ~1 F$ Y* g0 }- O) l
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
% y Y8 F. M* T4 H3 K. h' i0 ^monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 N7 z1 K0 W3 s/ O/ u8 E6 @
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary' r; a$ F8 m5 p t( g2 J9 s
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, Q4 x3 k) B1 T( [; W5 Z8 |" Qdevelopments.6 o( g4 u3 U- Q8 g" K
/ w4 u( J; Q% Q0 \+ [9 JInformation note:
, w' m* \8 d% b+ MThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
: S4 `9 B3 f0 ]of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 J/ z' n+ r: Spublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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