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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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( X3 b; H. e/ n0 \9 J6 oOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
8 `8 U- O: o* d; K& B3 Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
$ ?5 T3 t0 u1 }& v5 Q6 V1 D# @7 xraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal) Q9 K$ F: M* l; f& N
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with+ u; ^7 \0 m; C9 {* U
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the0 u& ^, V" G! B9 q3 B: s/ n1 L, p
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness, [4 ^* k* T4 k. i. {" |8 G
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 C$ {0 A% I3 s1 [In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
. C7 O; R& V& Hstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 l+ v9 ?9 V9 F k* C+ {
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result; ]% {2 T1 T: A2 z7 g/ L/ k2 a6 s
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an- t; u( c' q; \
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the) i3 M6 h4 ^, j6 B9 o% ]$ R/ r
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
, p! }2 G. K2 s' s) ? @7 k2 xprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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4 x9 d# `; s3 I1 X- M" DActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent3 h/ l: u D2 P; Z0 q |" z2 L
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
/ U, ]- f7 x; `/ [5 x- o' wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with5 Q2 X, J: J. G
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
; h' d, d0 ? Y6 gbalanced recovery.4 Z: u' i$ I# e
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
o/ I; Y8 z- M) d2 K8 ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
1 C5 x0 N5 H6 v Wsupply.
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/ U$ c/ I, Z1 P7 t" [, cIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
; j* s# @6 K; o( X8 b; |to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
6 q' J8 g7 V7 y' K1 O9 [4 Zmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
$ }: M q' S3 {& Q3 S2 Qsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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3 p- x: O9 S- q. _+ s0 v, k4 tGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
3 E2 f2 ~1 }9 o" ?! \9 t6 B: dstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic+ i# D1 q4 f [8 o4 S J* \
developments.
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Information note:1 Q; R2 _1 Y) a/ u1 z6 R$ R
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update5 i- S! p9 h8 R
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
5 n [$ ~$ i# h% f* u0 y8 Bpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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