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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market( Q2 R3 Q4 ]; _$ c8 E* v' T6 V
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight; m% e; Q% `2 N. ]& u4 M
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly$ D/ u/ F: Q# ], B: a _+ | h
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal% `2 l. H' P- C5 d/ ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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1 V. Y% W2 Z; y& JThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* v0 f0 g4 f* ? k% f
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the/ p& d0 P0 b4 H: k d0 u
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness1 V3 ^) l- d6 L! p
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 b6 T# I/ M( d* m! s3 B, @% W2 OIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ K) j8 s6 b8 Vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the( O$ q( J2 E W* X7 r; D; A2 `
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
+ t7 Z1 O4 `' w: D- I) a) ?# ?% {4 ein higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
2 X8 v) Y5 e7 wimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 X/ M7 V2 W& j" S2 R( x
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
7 ]* J- O+ L; O: Z% pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
: z+ i$ c- t1 k( @ S( W* vin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
9 `8 c6 |" U/ L" `. P8 DGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with, N2 k' d3 Q& i/ b: V. E9 C
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more, Q$ I. s* U0 }1 H* @
balanced recovery.5 O' S+ w. ^6 O1 Z3 w
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects8 D4 Q. a% W& K
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 @6 _$ g7 A+ M8 l
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 ]4 h: O& d3 g5 _: a
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 9 |. E! a' h- ]. M. R
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / ]% V( H* n- \: W+ r
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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8 J9 Y) S6 Y5 R: HGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
4 ?) X( e2 g4 R! D: T! Lstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
3 Y8 f6 R }" Z5 f: f- fdevelopments.
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# A, [* h4 A$ K2 O! IInformation note:
) _* r7 m* D0 R" w- `The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
5 |% S" S( ^; A, H' pof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
* z' b+ d5 L' ^# I+ `8 ?, a) opublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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