 鲜花( 0)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal0 s8 R; Y6 F$ _, _3 C7 U
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 20079 l/ }5 B3 p* S( i/ s/ L
6 e5 V+ D9 ?/ F: K: G( EEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.; P x; k; D- O* F8 O/ @
; {1 _; i; I! F2 x0 d) `Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
3 g8 ~" x6 `: P# i2 a( a5 M
9 A8 \9 A; A9 ~; M/ E; A0 XResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.7 _/ Z$ E: h# y4 r
8 }* i V+ h( `5 o R+ M
Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?- M+ J- K: ]0 g: _" C8 H
9 m( l4 E; }& [+ B& a$ X) Y& ]No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt., M' |( l _% q1 }5 t1 o; J
- c) u9 |. o9 M9 `4 |% N$ I# K5 X8 WLeger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."2 E k' l4 K' O0 q* a+ k
; v K' M. f; W+ Q; T o) Y
When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.% n" v. H" z8 ~% r' B
( {6 K( j: {, y0 h/ |
A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.' o5 n; z7 z& V/ i
5 ~. f/ k$ S1 z5 ?
The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
/ Q5 d0 b3 L5 j
& y# @+ z4 o1 Y6 MThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.6 j2 i1 x# K: b, l- M' z
8 E& g: \0 r, h3 M! T% Y3 {. TA related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.& `3 h/ _, E0 a) H( |
& S: y+ c2 g( ZAmong those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
( L4 z( Q# }) O$ ^" n9 Z) o% B5 l5 \6 V M7 _$ k
The business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.& B" {6 C3 R& c) |( f
0 O% v1 r% d# y. b: tBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
- I$ B1 t- I, D) f/ P; R% m: x Q7 I/ D' _( `/ w5 R: Q/ h" W- u
"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
|