 鲜花( 0)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal& j, D( e" W3 Y* f
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 2007
2 S+ n) J8 B" _$ v
3 {- h% Q1 v( q4 z2 ~5 P& dEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
7 O& j$ C* G3 g8 j- ^+ y B2 @0 f
' v8 ?; M1 U# ]' z0 |Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.
$ r( {0 y& m1 Q
" C8 A; _5 n! J2 t$ M3 g; EResponses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
8 ?2 P/ {" J& |8 d& l; A/ f/ v
) }' s. ^0 C7 S) m& j9 [Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
/ [4 Y8 [) m: I, a0 z1 X) A7 U+ c! y6 ]" x( z
No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt., }/ c% C+ M7 {. o! U# D, k8 J
. C) R+ K4 u0 u! `
Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
% k. v7 j- Q! E$ T# J* t. g! U( s) }4 z7 h9 [
When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise. C" C5 C+ O; o- ?7 J; a+ k
1 h' ?9 f7 ]" Q. y; {6 e% P
A question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.3 r! J+ `6 h' W) X. d( c. L4 c
" R+ J$ w2 `1 \
The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.
( D; ~& d0 C7 n5 T! A
) P* H/ @' r. GThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.: F# l8 b! y+ _! |1 w9 S
$ a) a8 G% x, D( r; S- s9 e
A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
/ O7 l2 G/ g2 T: |4 A, p" S7 c8 \3 E% @
Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."+ n% f g* k& b- V
& z' \: c5 g zThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
& P) V. |& Q% c* l* m
+ u4 w1 ?" N4 GBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
$ |$ f) E$ k3 I7 {, R/ }9 \6 @ y; C4 b! |9 D' e2 N
"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
|