Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
. C2 _# |& {& V3 ~/ e" k( GMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
+ g: e# I3 O5 f, f9 lNote: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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9 H- I5 S1 @4 E; [+ F- x- G0 G+ UDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
; g4 x1 V2 U  l- H+ d4 x' @
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
# `$ A2 p6 U. {; I- h! n
6 c4 [. S' v. y! \# n  VAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

: e$ L& x& n9 @Jul 2007
NA
/ m( i" m" B9 ?! f 2328
717
442,752
410,000
320
28
0 |( z& y7 s0 u/ E. E0 f2 K0 z* Q: e! Y 31%

# W8 M9 B1 g$ m9 YJun 2007
NA
2661
1011
  S4 r- u& \$ T& A$ T 442,817
9 k% K5 p: y# Z1 V4 g$ ^3 W 409,000
328
) l& o" D7 @8 [. q0 A$ y; p" A 22
. Z# N; T; q. T' y 38%

8 v4 `( t( m0 P4 _" c, ?- u% UMay 2007
NA
2288
1261
451,216
8 Q6 m; ^8 i, o# d- c; Z( _ 415,000
$ D& u( ^0 y  H4 r5 K+ h 322
2 B0 _  u3 |' b 19
( z" y4 Q4 M2 t, Z 55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
$ G2 T% Q8 w% g$ S& F鉴定完毕！

; w" |- P% D0 w, Z: }用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
8 T- w, z; S4 A2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
- R/ ?( L! S& w1 C' h; b3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
5 T/ T  f+ s: e$ \存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

. W/ I0 ^( A* ~2 z
/ Z3 q  i' F, t+ P呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

( x$ v- g5 A5 |) Q) D. z* v& m+ n( k就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
6 z/ A& \! n1 h5 }$ }
9 ]8 v. u- s9 n/ I/ x) Z0 a3 ]这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
* w' n; K' g! ?; a3 ?Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

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) Q: j! v( N% U4 Z+ V9 j6 F! V

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
0 _' Z0 t! u0 I: E' X7 ^) C( M3 |Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
4 b  c0 Y. `( @7 f2 u. JThat is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
' p8 {, y5 E7 k' l& A6 \" S8 vIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
$ Z9 [. k) E9 b0 b, B5 nHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

8 _3 a# s: h6 i8 n/ ]
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
Edmonton Single Family Home
4 U- @. P  t  xMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
& j3 n" T' x0 Z1 f8 }, wIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
& N* [8 L4 I' }5 V' J6 o4 [Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

2 Z8 X/ o6 F- q5 jQWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
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" C, Y8 A$ u& _9 ~+ s2 y: k# c& D& {
I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
9 P" y/ y' r( p5 D$ b# K$ c3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

4 K( ^' {# {7 O7 n5 D9 H6 _6 Y
: h8 u5 ^: x- \$ ]  d3 d4 Z下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：
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只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。