Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
  Q% O+ \; W% n/ `0 C' T6 r
) i- H% D$ C8 z9 v5 ?0 a3 \% pDate      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  
/ Y! h& d; [/ k9 t- y4 f% u
7 ^4 n7 r/ Q' j# r! a& lOct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
2 \' c$ ~- ~$ \# y% Q2 g; ^5 ~
Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
5 q# O3 ^: d+ O
1 t% K* ]* c$ b% [" |2 K9 s8 AJul 2007
$ g4 k; y; y+ O% ? NA
2328
717
442,752
410,000
- ]# A8 \7 W+ t0 Z8 c2 \, M 320
28
31%

Jun 2007
% H7 H+ B+ ~' i& ]; P* `0 w NA
2661
* m3 B+ K, T% r# [1 o) | 1011
4 Z' \% E. ~8 Y* s- ^- y/ E1 i% E8 r& n 442,817
409,000
328
' F% w/ N/ l( l2 c8 | 22
8 ^) o* U& s: ~2 y 38%
$ N2 X; X! Y2 d, A
' g* T. f& G& D) TMay 2007
NA
3 g5 [  @( ?( k" A 2288
% N1 \/ I* r6 E' |* G: X" [" x- N8 A7 w 1261
451,216
415,000
2 v$ D+ Q1 R9 f/ [: c# n/ b0 t 322
19
55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
/ l4 _$ _- R8 z, S鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

! @$ G% R  {* }
2 z4 W/ A' w) z  h8 t7 e; G* D用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
) @7 V- O) w; t) p鉴定完毕！

6 c% a  P2 X4 e2 j& f* f
呵呵，太不专业了吧。
+ W7 |" t# ^& M; N' V/ ]7 P
7 y3 \5 i6 `( \% d! k. \新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

3 a! r/ p; z5 e0 k/ P/ `7 `$ y就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
& O; k9 P+ Q. @. w1 a. s5 w- tDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

2 l: M- {- F  c' Q( T- C0 q" ^

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
5 u- n. B& u: s  QHow about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
5 G/ K1 e, }' T5 `, ^3 N' z1 jIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
. E  v7 T+ }3 [6 W3 n" FHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

6 \* x/ V) W& ]; b5 k7 XI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
' f; P' {( b7 ^) L2 G2 H& ]Edmonton Single Family Home
, X( S% W- w4 _MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表


I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

4 ]7 G/ S* s0 d9 P( l: [, r

WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
1 {* [. i6 W7 d5 H5 \$ G0 q5 k2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

& i9 x; ]2 B) [
下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

" a3 n; ?( S. h% U, V: w

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。