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Oilsands an emerging global growth star; d! z- _1 m P
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
+ B5 J; a# f1 p$ K6 n# tGordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal( Q; J1 l9 f- I U
Published: 2:37 am8 B9 n- C& R5 ]( t9 E: J
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen., ` @3 I( n) H+ c3 H
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4 L( c8 J) e* }Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.5 D7 I' k: i7 l. {& A* ]
Larry Wong, The Journal
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.8 f& L6 J$ t" p# {6 g
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.* A7 f" g- ^6 `1 D
6 T( r- X; {- { @5 \, U- k+ ~- V$ JWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.6 H, A0 ?* @3 B- }: O! e6 E- `
* h' O7 b- d2 w4 uWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
