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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. # T9 B% P3 a/ u- D3 z/ @' [
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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8 W' V! L; B2 L' N- yIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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, o" N ~1 s# |9 [. b* E"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." / [. m7 S. {& O
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. + a6 T) ^* B! Z* C: ?
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 1 m/ v, f; G) u8 n
5 y. t( ^1 F8 [4 y" L: KThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.7 t! Y% ?# }+ Q- Z. d- _
- X3 ?# ? r; q% u- ACMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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