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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. ' s t) [( b% _9 u& V% P7 ]
; @( p3 o! B! Z4 F2 n* iThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 5 x+ X/ U7 E( T7 Q* g) y- @- q
0 N% S4 Z7 Q, mNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.; k, @8 v# I7 I. w
0 l8 X4 b2 {, a6 _8 |( ZIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.0 n. {6 q+ t6 F8 I+ n
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 0 W/ |& I4 i; O$ Z. y0 M3 ]1 `
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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- w3 J7 f% Q3 SIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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9 b/ c- B7 D$ u7 pThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.: B \! H4 v+ B
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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