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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 2 g% B/ k. Y7 ?, i+ ~
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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# q6 \" s) V! n& XThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. ' C- r" y# u; _3 [! A q+ p
! { c$ T7 l; Q# _* bNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.! S w! n4 b" {7 [) p A
" D+ H" M, Z* o& I( T, C* MIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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, Q: c* `/ T0 S" fHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." * P7 {) h* S$ [/ S! ]: j* i
8 C' M( c/ A$ `! q* hIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.; _4 [; t! A6 |3 {2 G' g1 W
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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