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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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' W, s. T' j- ?6 o/ A4 X/ fThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. k) }7 Q% |' F) c+ Z0 b
) s: }0 [! K( ]# p: g( H2 JThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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$ `, ?3 Z# D& t5 n& iNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.. K& h9 a9 u9 g1 X9 k. k1 B7 k3 `
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.; p* ]1 D: O# y) c; n5 T7 M
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 2 n, W# H$ I, ?( Y
* o2 P* E/ ?% s8 P& DHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 3 Q) t9 @ r: n7 O
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ) j; V2 j7 L- a1 J& Q
. q+ B& {! O+ o. G* EThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.7 Z- l* ^, i; u/ c C/ x. P
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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