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Alberta's oilsands could push Canada's oil production to more than 4.2 million barrels a day by 2025, compared with 2.7 million bpd currently, if the investment climate improves over time, said the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers in a forecast released Friday./ O# K; `) q; `0 a# d8 l
9 Y. e+ G- `5 d9 v7 J) x7 i) z% GThe production and market outlook paints two scenarios.+ m: ]6 S7 A& L
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Under a conservative approach, which includes projects operating or under construction, Canadian crude oil output would rise to just 2.8 million bpd by 2025, with the oilsands replacing declining conventional production.& I7 c: Y8 U9 X# z/ [( `
f6 Q- B, l# B$ @ o: D- c: UCAPP sees oilsands output increasing to two million bpd under its conservative approach, compared with 3.3 million bpd under its growth scenario, which assumes an improving economic market.
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"CAPP's production forecast indicates that even with delays due to current economic circumstances, oilsands production is expected to grow, although the pace of development has slowed," said Greg Stringham, vice-president for markets and oilsands. "Producers expect continued demand for the security of supply that crude oil from Canada provides to the North American energy market."
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3 e* F$ k8 r/ F' C1 R& mCAPP sees no need for more pipe-line capacity in the decade ahead.5 d8 g/ X0 Q0 k4 |1 S6 c) z
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"In terms of pipeline capacity to meet market expectations, this year's outlook indicates that the significant pipeline development now under-way will amply connect forecasted production to long-term demand in the North American energy market," Stringham said |
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