固定利率会回调吗？ 这是一个问题

年轻的心

  `9 G! k2 d% G' }3 c. ^* ?; ~
- \5 o/ r0 X" r6 \Yields Down. Rates, Not So Much
+ E. S$ Q( Y/ w& f4 i
! ~6 F% m8 e7 K3 zCanada’s 5-year bond yield closed near a 3-week low today, settling at 2.43%.  That’s down from its June 10 high of 2.81%.





+ J! E- ]& b3 w& F2 jWhile there’s been a noticeable dip in yields, there hasn’t been much reduction in 5-year fixed mortgage rates (which track yields).  

At the most, we’ve seen a few non-bank lenders drop 5-year rates by 0.10% lately.  The Big 5 banks have not lowered advertised rates at all.
3 u8 T% O8 p4 s% R" _4 J
One lender sent an email today suggesting that banks have changed their focus from aggregating clients to profitability. Given the banks just went through a vicious market share war, they may be less inclined to discount rates now with only four months to hit their year-end income targets.
% @2 R' H8 J( W( n& v+ PThe lender went on to say: “There may be some movement soon, but banks are ensuring bond prices stay consistent before they make a move.”

Smokie

appleman

Who knows? But now the prime rate is in the history bottom for sure.

年轻的心

Will 5-Year Mortgage Rates Fall Further?
1 g) D3 B6 l3 n+ d+ e" e
Banks last raised mortgage rates on June 9, when the 5-year bond yield was at 2.68%.
# |8 O7 L) i: b* I9 v
Since then, the 5-year yield (which guides fixed mortgage pricing) has fallen to 2.44%, but bank rates have not budged.
9 o# V! Y9 ?# n1 I% l1 @$ c
; @; ]8 D8 |: ~- oBMO economist, Doug Porter, told the Toronto Star it’s because banks "want to be convinced that it is not a flash in the pan and that any retreat in yields is sustained."

He says: "I believe that we are probably not too far away from that point. It might take a little more of a deeper rally (in bond prices) to make it completely convincing."

' u8 X0 `6 [/ H) |3 |0 g7 UThe often quoted CIBC economist, Benjamin Tal, thinks yields could fall another 0.05% to 0.10%, but any drop in fixed-rates will be short-lived. "By the end of the year, we'll start seeing rates rising," he says.

( G/ B- q/ {" I% [+ {: ?6 tIf rates do drop another 0.10%, it would translate into a $5.50 monthly payment savings for every $100,000 of mortgage. That’s a total savings of $478 over five years, assuming a 25-year amortization and typical fixed rates.

( U- ^8 Y- H6 l9 i# }5 uBut remember, trying to time bond and mortgage rates is financially hazardous.  While you’re waiting, rates can move the wrong way—quickly.  

6 p/ u( c3 U: b. }You’re usually better served by focusing on factors that can dwarf a 0.10% rate savings, like finding a mortgage with the optimal term and just the right amount of flexibility (pre-payment options, openness, readvanceability, etc.).  Too much flexibility is a waste, and too little can cost you in the long-run.

今晚打老虎

到底涨了还是降了呢？
! v* y. g* A" J8 v$ [2 ?5年锁定利率现在差不多都到5％了把？