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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market8 j4 Q! p8 `0 B9 t
; {- {. K% L/ i. E' ?$ a d& nOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
: P6 L: z7 Y$ a. `( Jrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
( ?3 W/ f9 z. ^. h8 _, ^ `raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal7 r: X0 p: w2 w& o; N5 v
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.' S9 Y$ Z) A, m- Q; y; V
; n* B) }- y, L8 W. Q9 O3 c" UThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
+ `* s& D% }, c. d) x+ Istrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
/ {9 i m* r f1 u' I3 b# yUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness( N3 _' M) F' p" W% q; |
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
9 P) I8 ~( ?; m0 XIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
+ O# |9 G, H$ S! rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the y' ]" p. M; o0 y+ i1 `# F* u
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result2 Z8 R" I( ^ o, G( F% P
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
/ I9 X" X; @) T, g, f5 {4 P6 w: w! Bimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
$ o) E, |5 y9 J" ?0 l3 K9 dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
/ [9 ~7 e# w, t$ w* ^$ _; w$ Q- Uprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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1 E4 J) p& |$ Y% y1 v- a( DActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 ^2 w, t6 H( U! o0 g# k
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.8 I5 w/ m: X; I" ~# [& S* J5 t
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with( _1 [+ x3 q/ S6 m
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 R7 t1 r. A' i# |; }balanced recovery.
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, P! k" H g4 D* _+ D3 M, _$ `# D- G8 zCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
% n) V8 f8 y% w ^the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
. G& f4 E9 T% [4 x6 u! T& Fsupply.
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_0 `' X c- x8 p, b1 Z0 jIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
8 _6 X1 y5 K B9 }# Oto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable ! y% I2 ?8 g) y$ A7 Z* j+ \3 n5 m
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / M% b# E( i' g+ a
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.; |8 |& {2 N/ G4 k5 ^# j E1 J3 @5 B
0 z$ l8 k+ ~6 ~, M: u& L7 Y$ |Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 _4 w$ I9 x7 F4 F$ X' [+ C
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
, ?; x. L8 p) H0 |/ o, ?3 qdevelopments.
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# r3 Z7 T, e' |; VInformation note:
' u$ }* r& y6 E" t/ ~The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update' N( T2 n/ W' W
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" @, v3 j# I; B& y" _4 `4 g
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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