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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight" O' Z s5 l7 d1 P
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
5 \/ d( ?( e( M9 r' _7 \raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
; N5 Y( W3 J9 ~; n- noperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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8 }) d9 Y2 ^' a* YThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
1 o9 h5 p8 ]' M# K: estrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. U% X, [; D2 L6 i& CUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
W y: P3 H8 e8 o4 D; Fin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
; z4 S/ j( F+ B! fIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal8 u7 J" H7 W# I7 T
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
5 U5 ?& M7 g5 h! k0 s8 @" `/ I" Lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result r8 {/ U7 `1 h2 Z1 R5 P& C
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% z! o- t1 i! l0 U" ?0 @
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
; C, X/ c+ }) e6 J: Ospillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity% G( l! H! C) @ R* Q
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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& O2 |- f3 H$ UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 j3 y3 X) H/ Iin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
3 o! a0 v/ f- N6 e1 V3 b6 Q BGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
; s( z1 _8 z8 [) z/ Q+ m; `- S! }income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more4 A) N* `$ R, B# z
balanced recovery.% y9 [% |2 x; K7 T* A
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
8 g' N8 @- A Fthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess5 O8 i4 V9 y" e* @) m2 X7 g
supply." G% r6 u2 l2 T2 `1 Q
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and8 U% n' m; m$ k, G
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable $ W$ I0 m; M) m4 ^1 ]/ v2 Y$ o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the / v) P# [- d* R/ t1 s9 T
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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; M2 C. M" Y ?6 H7 B' g( Z. ?: DGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 y$ g j6 u2 F
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic: n% |0 ^2 z. `/ W
developments.
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$ a. _7 ~6 U: {$ D, s* [Information note:8 E! \4 p* G5 A) t$ b) `
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update+ \- b# K) }" ?0 ?
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
* ]3 w6 c) t$ mpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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