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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
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4 ~# Q# k% j( H" a' IThe global economic recovery is proceeding broadly in line with the Bank's projection in its
8 p" ]) |+ l" Z6 ]0 W- WJanuary Monetary Policy Report (MPR), although risks remain elevated. U.S. activity is. B4 a8 q, g# E; ?
solidifying and remains supported by stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. Ongoing
# H0 m3 }2 d) z* Ochallenges associated with sovereign and bank balance sheets will limit the pace of the European
9 F+ s! F+ X" Y# \recovery and are a significant source of uncertainty to the global outlook. Robust demand from
6 e @: _! r: q" a/ Demerging-market economies is driving the underlying strength in commodity prices, which could
4 p' R# E2 c5 ~7 T- ybe further reinforced temporarily by supply shocks arising from recent geopolitical events.* d1 f) _; Z, M+ \& \! x$ X
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The recovery in Canada is proceeding slightly faster than expected, and there is more evidence of
: r, T$ C/ g2 F- ?4 C% b: Ithe anticipated rebalancing of demand. While consumption growth remains strong, there are" s& }) R8 y- q8 z1 a4 z& W/ k: o
signs that household spending is moving more in line with the growth in household incomes.
9 v8 }' j4 k3 xBusiness investment continues to expand rapidly as companies take advantage of stimulative0 a# \( s* z) q" l
financial conditions and respond to competitive imperatives. There is early evidence of a3 b u& v7 B: U' c4 D1 \
recovery in net exports, supported by stronger U.S. activity and global demand for commodities." {2 a5 B0 L, u: X' a8 X
However, the export sector continues to face considerable challenges from the cumulative effects2 U V' }/ Z* x: ~+ I
of the persistent strength in the Canadian dollar and Canada's poor relative productivity
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While global inflationary pressures are rising, inflation in Canada has been consistent with the% F; d+ d C& X4 F9 N: l
Bank's expectations. Underlying pressures affecting prices remain subdued, reflecting the
8 L! d) _+ W; i5 d7 t6 qconsiderable slack in the economy.
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Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate
! L3 k. V" ^3 x1 r( W" hat 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the" \: p% G* N: Q3 i! V' K# q
2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further
% [5 q9 c. h1 }; _8 V9 Y, _0 n0 |* @8 Ereduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.' O v3 q5 |2 G( l
Information note:
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, t) U9 w- \- m( ~9 [The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 12 April 2011. |
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