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本帖最后由 爱城闲人 于 2014-12-9 20:36 编辑 1 M7 B+ t& C+ l- x1 ]5 u
" O* E0 w3 x' Z6 L, A3 |) nPremier Says Low Oil Prices Could Leave Hole in Provincial Budget
. p \. i# K- n& i. |Tuesday, December 09, 2014 - Economy, Infrastructure, Oil
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The price of oil hovered around $63 US/barrel Tuesday after one of its worst days in years Tuesday.
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7 q7 }6 U& l& P# s# xAnd Premier Jim Prentice says low prices could leave a $7 billion hole in the province’s budget.
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Prentice gave his “State of the Province” speech to the Edmonton Chamber of Commerce Tuesday.
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, n' o' d, G3 f8 w5 V7 S4 MTwo weeks ago, the Premier said the government expected oil prices to end the year between $65 US/barrel and $75 US/barrel. At that time he said low prices would have “consequences for all Albertans.”
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Now, with prices lower than $65 US/barrel, Prentice says low prices could leave a $6-$7 billion hole in Alberta’s $40 billion budget.& \7 n( v( g/ j
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Prentice says the government will have to reduce spending if low prices are sustained. He says across-the-board cuts in spending won’t happen, instead Prentice says his government will focus on core services and limit spending below the rate of growth, plus inflation.
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/ k# U' o# ~0 l9 v+ ~$ _“It is incumbent on us to adjust our expectations and adjust our spending to begin to mitigate these risks for the long-term. And the solution cannot be to simply wait for the next upswing in prices,” he says.. z2 Y3 | `( p0 S) t1 i! c3 Z
8 a8 q2 Z! C+ u" M! PTuesday’s comments come days after a Morgan Stanley report said crude oil prices could drop to $43 US/barrel in 2015 before rebounding.
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Last year’s provincial budget was based on a forecasted price of $95 US/barrel.
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Prentice says future budgets will rely on much more conservative price estimates.
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“In the long-term, a budget that is tied to to volatile energy prices year-in, year-out represents a significant risk.”
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& Z3 F+ ?5 w) Y: I; gPrentice also says the government is not considering a provincial sales tax to cover possible shortfalls from low oil prices.
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