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Oilsands an emerging global growth star- c2 u5 }6 V; B7 ` ]2 z
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030+ R/ x/ o3 C- Q) |+ P$ R# t+ S4 g! u
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
+ k. O' h$ T( | lPublished: 2:37 am
* w+ ^& S1 H$ j3 IEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.& e8 p7 D- u2 |7 g' t3 S# Q
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday., _- _. `% y: A" V1 n( ~
Larry Wong, The Journal3 p8 Y# I( N$ R+ z
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Edmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.7 |/ R2 T% V: @# O8 _( F( L
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
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+ z: f7 E" @! ?( F9 i! CWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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- } N# e) K! H# rWhen the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
