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Oilsands an emerging global growth star) `; _. ?0 u9 L& `' y% ^% x
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030- s. E$ B+ x6 V; ? k: f
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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# X+ K; r( m% `$ P3 Y1 u# EEDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.
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7 |/ k$ K g- G! a% s0 K8 ROilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday./ }! B0 F, P2 m" _ }+ J3 p3 `6 i
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Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen." G |8 x: A: |$ y" ] t2 ]% ^
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Gasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.7 x* T: K: R8 z2 W
Larry Wong, The Journal8 ]) P) w K6 E' }; w3 R
) D( S q8 D5 Q, [- b1 yEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
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' o D; ^% N" S& r+ ~. qExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.
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Output from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.! N Q: l3 a1 p/ s" M& w D7 l
, Z& @! t6 H0 ~! l ]' ^& jWhile no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
