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Oilsands an emerging global growth star8 \! x8 U* {$ D$ D( r* Z3 V- ^
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030
* w3 F& I6 j/ \/ g# a _Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal
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7 v, u& y" [+ I" U* s2 \; q7 [EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.; d* r5 K' M! Z. d' c
# z# ~! l$ X2 f1 r0 v; ]" P4 ?Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.
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4 }+ z7 s+ k1 c: fOil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
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7 z- X0 H# o5 Y% ?- n0 SGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday." z" X9 f4 o v
Larry Wong, The Journal
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( o$ i& D H& ^5 n! wEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.6 G6 S8 H @; f: ~0 V x, H
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ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.$ g7 ?2 Q3 S+ g! t: q k
8 h/ ~0 @4 |4 H* |, p, pOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.1 _ }3 J# t( J. J
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While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said." {1 W7 k9 ?" \8 n
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When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
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发表于 2007-11-7 10:35
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发表于 2007-11-7 11:48
