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EDMONTON – By the end of the year, Edmonton could get something it hasn’t seen for several years — a “normalized” housing market — as homes for sale dry up and prices drop . + Z: O9 t! J) ?# g
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That’s the forecast contained in the House Price Survey and Market Survey Forecast released Thursday by Royal LePage Real Estate Services. I" B& z2 \! [- [; g' H A+ W
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A soaring number of homes put on the market especially by builders and speculators in the last year softened the city’s housing market during the second quarter, the report said. : y) d- s" M$ U: ^/ u6 x4 F3 b
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“The high inventory levels will dwindle into the second half of the year, and as affordability improves, subsequent market conditions will continue to normalize,” the report said. 2 _. ^* Q& O' y/ A9 l# L- Q7 N. h
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As of the end of Wednesday, there were 11,184 homes for sale on the Multiple Listing Service, according to the Realtors’ Association of Edmonton. + n& V1 ^/ p5 P( [# I \
# K: z' X$ I$ |) p1 r! u7 X# t; e5 RBut Alberta’s two biggest cities still boast some of the most expensive real estate in the country, it noted. 9 j4 V; u% w9 ]* W) ~& j/ R# G2 {* u5 t
6 c) b$ }* u$ a7 } l7 C/ M“Despite some mild price erosion during the second quarter in both Calgary and Edmonton, these markets remain strong. Although prices have come down from where they were last year — one of the best years on record — current house prices are far higher than they were three years ago before energy-rich Alberta experienced its boom.” % q9 p- R2 b! j6 N) ~" Q1 e
% o: q5 `+ A8 e0 @8 sThe average price for a detached bungalow in Edmonton in April, May and June was $320,000, down about 14.5 per cent from the same period in 2007 ($374,143), Royal LePage said in its survey of Canadian house prices. 7 g9 o1 [9 d8 I$ [8 T/ V0 X$ H
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In the second quarter of 2008, a two-storey house in Edmonton sold for an average price of $348,571, down 12.4 per cent year-over-year from $397,857. 2 b; z* m4 r4 D" d8 `( g
5 r: Q: T; h' z; k! b3 L* T; ?3 jAn average condominium in Edmonton was priced at $226,000, down 14.2 per cent from $263,333 in the comparable 2007 period. & \6 X& e' J5 l" L# {5 ]; W. T
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“A surge in inventory caused Alberta’s white-hot market to record the country’s only major-market price decreases,” the report said. " z1 S: l7 p' A: `7 r& L, }
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Across most of the country, average house prices rose, but more slowly than the spikes seen in 2006 and 2007.
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Royal LePage forecasts the national average house price to rise by 3.5 per cent, to $318,000 by year’s end. ' p; E5 V M/ q
" V0 ^4 o+ V% i0 Q% Y: u# IThe report predicts home sale transactions to decrease by 11.5 per cent to 461,000 unit sales by year’s end. |
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