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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. - u3 V3 j! c7 t" m+ c$ `2 ]: u/ b
0 q; A* ]2 n" F$ M Y! _& EThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. & \1 x7 Z9 H5 C( j
( v3 _+ y: y) |4 Q, yThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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/ S; g6 p5 p* H0 HIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ; X. c' `* O: ^5 R
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. ! Z2 A: ~8 p% T0 ]2 ?, |
, P! R2 Z9 e! T* t a2 _* f8 z$ }The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ( R, @; t! ^1 \/ m4 t7 {5 w
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009. B6 B1 y1 k$ p+ ? C% Q
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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