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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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! x9 J! _7 J; g7 g. U6 lThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year." Z+ m8 }3 M" E q1 [6 y
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.1 Z6 }% j c; O
5 J; \0 v9 G# T8 N0 o"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." . n4 G1 i. ^4 H0 A9 O0 ~& Y
: {9 Q, K, U0 T/ jIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 5 @: u! v9 T8 C5 [9 t& E
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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1 G" ^ [9 p l X; pCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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