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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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3 w3 _5 C& m8 Y' `# y0 bThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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The forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. . j; j0 f% H% U# Q$ c5 A# B, q
$ `; E x4 [/ X- r; ^3 oNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.& k' L+ d' Q7 a- {1 M* M, a. K
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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& @9 I1 ^6 s1 [! @8 H& r9 B y6 E2 T# ~"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. ! x, f$ }) R/ S5 ]& A
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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7 Q9 ?7 ?& ]/ s6 EThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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