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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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0 E$ n( F, }9 h5 k) |7 P" BThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 9 h# u: p% h& I3 ]8 ^2 M
s6 f, Y1 U0 {7 K; S% H; [1 lThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. 4 m, @2 _& B; c! s8 o5 W0 }
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.+ o5 v* K( k R: M" p3 e2 f
& t& A6 L; L% Y. H$ Z8 v4 n9 c# [It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700." \8 f/ O& C% M6 ]) u( F h2 c
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. ( G+ \$ O# u% P. Q- T- n( B
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. , v- Q# Z; e& P: o- V
6 k7 K ? r' X, b3 {; m4 _, HThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 5 u& e; T; Y1 I) y: q
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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