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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. 0 @* d# K1 }$ l0 X
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. e% l; L& w) T0 P
2 q, V5 a& w# }- F/ D2 nThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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/ z I, a( l. v( m B4 cNow CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year., U' O8 ]7 x n+ `/ h% \. H$ q
2 S1 A+ K- k3 SIt expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. 9 t2 n2 i- C' _9 U7 K1 H
0 ]. V/ P# o# \ t! c7 h; gHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." ' ^2 m4 r3 c7 G% |
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. - `( q0 w' C9 O ^; N7 ]- J# n( F
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. 9 F) N9 K( q5 [& \ ?
0 k: ^$ T2 O$ M1 u! i9 }# rThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.
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0 j! H7 G0 a3 C' O. T1 PCMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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