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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. ' u7 G; p9 Z9 B' z1 F; X
" X" Q1 ^2 S7 eThe Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. " \1 d" c! ]( y
: n$ u1 p+ I* ?7 k( U- ?+ B: B& uThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.8 [* K1 F. z' W8 N. }) D
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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4 s w# s \! H, Y4 n0 q( z"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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& q' l5 m" E1 O9 O* e& `3 vHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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4 s e A" K5 N+ S& _* P6 CIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000. 0 H k0 e9 D p8 v+ A
6 X8 l$ Y) Y* i* R- R5 u" u! Z HThe agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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0 c7 a1 U9 O5 kThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.& x4 s3 ~- `5 ~4 }. y& ~) |
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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