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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market. m4 a( q% [. [' j$ O) e
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight9 Y3 C9 z* T6 w4 F' s; e+ y. a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
L* Q: F9 o7 J) ^0 uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
2 l, A( T% U& I7 K6 Poperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.4 h1 H4 u) t: g! a
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with s( a' R+ m, ~& y
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! A( ?- y: Z7 W9 i ~United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness! I k2 t7 i8 j- [5 M$ G- ~0 `
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.0 o5 _, i. e0 f H
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
/ U( B* f9 s4 U3 [stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
8 r S3 L3 N( v( H5 z# m3 hvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result h1 a6 x! N% L, y- g
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an* U2 g, z% ~1 |* R7 Q" E+ x: |
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
! M9 Y/ k' Z9 S9 Rspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
; \2 [3 B$ h' S0 a0 j$ w8 V) l3 E2 Pprices and some tightening of financial conditions.( P. B) s" A5 F5 B
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
# T+ [! g0 E$ ^$ F5 A1 f3 pin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.5 S2 Y2 Y) ?6 z3 R# ]) P$ p1 R, R
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with2 {, k+ k* G7 Z) n6 i2 F* l
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
2 ^% x+ R' K* H7 D' ybalanced recovery.( V+ [) h! y V0 y9 S" r
: L9 ~! c% i, A9 P, q% ECPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects, J$ P! Z7 L- N+ V5 j
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, ?# m% K& B: `! T1 A9 Qsupply.0 z5 t% A, n Q% t7 D% {% L8 @: G; ?
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and5 O" z" i$ s+ K+ J, {& ?2 `
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable : r+ R* u; j$ C$ z2 \5 p
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 0 @, p4 T# C% U2 n" [8 p5 J' L
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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9 A K/ T) s5 K- K kGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
* Y& B2 y& k( b. n8 Xstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
4 W- g; k; o7 N# q& `+ r5 ndevelopments.
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9 |) P4 v8 N4 j) r* `" F4 I* ZInformation note:
0 ?2 ]* e9 ^ E- W0 vThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
/ b' v2 G/ }; P! H# R5 wof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
- s* ~0 {6 E$ d% Tpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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