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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market+ B: u: [% i# h! N, z1 S
/ G6 I s3 g/ H T% ^9 v5 r2 ]OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight0 j7 c' @% Q8 o1 W, C, n
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
0 W1 K" q( u7 }) ^# \! o5 {raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal. y2 E- {4 _6 i5 y- a- ]
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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. C( B9 ?; \# ^/ d( F7 _- YThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with* i# Q9 b: j8 x; s# d5 o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
. p4 z" D0 c/ sUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
% s A) d2 e" Q0 zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
4 N) v/ u6 U( l2 R+ N; ~In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal" \! c* w/ G3 Q$ }, G, e% R# x
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
0 b5 w, a# X! E0 B3 a% B. B1 ` Lvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ g, r: U B6 P6 T2 O; z* _9 zin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
- U V5 P$ m0 y2 G* W" i! Jimportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
- f3 a& W5 Y5 ?# e& Vspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
b1 j3 R+ ? H+ X% i8 c2 X; k2 Bprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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4 r: I" X) w4 a, W1 M: i" UActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent# c/ \9 \ b6 O _$ o7 H( C0 O( d
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 H. d& V l w+ q
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
! j9 @. L: G- \, v% X; ^/ sincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
& a! _9 h$ J/ Rbalanced recovery.
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' r. f/ b1 V6 ~3 R" WCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
7 ~' m, f& D3 p7 h4 _" P, mthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess' R4 C0 _& M# x
supply.
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8 h, o& u8 m- H! Q3 B% FIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. Z3 {# v. Y4 O) \8 b
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
* e& T" R; q% Q k7 W$ W1 omonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the # {/ k1 j P# h( @6 H, \
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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! A9 j3 l9 b7 uGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! ^! i" C1 b* F8 p
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic2 J! l' U: u2 Y5 f$ S
developments.( z9 b1 y8 G8 g8 x* o8 V
j; a5 y& j" s s- {0 \Information note:
. l! S1 I5 ^! gThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
3 u) L" {8 S3 C! W8 fof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
# m* K6 G0 G; B: M! Epublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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