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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 N# F- r! E8 A
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
2 L1 c! ]) o3 U3 `$ ^" j! ^5 arate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly1 l" A% x. n ^
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# e2 N* J1 _4 g; M, l; o
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.8 e0 U0 H9 F* p+ O0 @
j6 e" V9 m( |. p- Z: A# M# IThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
0 g; m9 k: f. qstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
: v, M; N$ G# p. eUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
3 Z5 T9 j0 W2 _6 T5 t2 zin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
' @- r' e- E: \6 r$ M9 QIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
4 \+ Y* w/ _5 a; L+ f# J9 Zstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the8 a) X9 A+ n& x! o0 V0 r9 D9 Q7 H
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
( R4 V9 d& s* R, K. c- pin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
1 b+ f0 m$ H! w& i- o: B2 Limportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the# ^' K" k* U4 e, W3 C% x4 x" [
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
$ O( I/ ] a* l8 O7 Nprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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- a. y1 Y" P4 N% S8 E+ iActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
+ c. [/ E( ^6 win the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.6 J2 v# W: d! O# P7 y+ X
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
- d3 a; N) Z. w7 s3 a6 cincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. S: f1 o+ ?3 r( z
balanced recovery." K. X- L- J5 x6 u
+ m( \) I# H* O: p2 o5 fCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# m& N: Q; _; d
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
2 X: w! P4 j, i5 r W) nsupply.
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1 w( {2 B3 u$ q* Z sIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and) M* G( L' {- o
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
$ t2 j+ [5 P8 V3 X7 d+ vmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
' e0 U1 Q' j r: Y$ A; lsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
+ |/ h/ h, n. D( \0 rstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic$ B- g3 j3 t- q# ~" n( n; ?
developments.
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6 p; f3 ]' K" F& N+ mInformation note:
1 n; H5 L+ i e: y% {The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update! Z7 N; d6 j# [' L
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 H) R2 j( y2 I3 j. {: I; I; ]published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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