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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market* n" f) K5 `% E9 a$ B
* d* l6 q0 G! t d$ f7 i9 u& gOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight2 M' E0 M+ i4 N2 r
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 m5 [9 y1 t( q, P$ i& hraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal5 b7 ~4 c6 @2 S. {" A# C4 y- C% T
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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0 `4 p2 V3 x: p# l3 A& [The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with% O5 L! ?$ g/ T! F( d
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
- ~$ o( V% Q. \7 }" M: {$ D3 AUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness6 D( U4 H' {. k
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( B" R; Q! G1 O* [2 DIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal1 \& M; f- H: p2 A+ F/ h- l
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the/ a7 [5 b. p5 w# W
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; X1 b& A- F: E4 Y- Q6 bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an$ ~0 X5 f g; G) |2 n5 P
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the% }, q* j1 u y% A' c
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
. U% `! P$ \" A2 V$ h: I6 a. _" v+ ~prices and some tightening of financial conditions.5 q# R/ |/ d3 F) s f: j& `
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
9 Y E* H6 ]9 W4 x5 N8 W. [; Xin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
- Y9 D4 J6 b% F; GGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with! L, ^0 D- Y4 d0 w
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more. @) c# a8 O0 T3 g
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
/ y; F% C( n% J% t! [6 `the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess0 ?* y2 I: {/ Q: `1 ?& a
supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and9 w6 ~! X" X* ]! i6 Z, S4 M6 e1 C
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable " E( e% N$ v9 T: O- a
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
4 t: ] _6 B( Q( csignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary S) E# y: g1 g! I$ U O
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
! Q7 Q" L" J4 ]+ [1 ddevelopments.
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7 y- S2 x; q9 l; [Information note:
6 }& m4 P& l+ K: uThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update( ]9 q' N7 M( j) f
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
8 M* O4 O2 q. B" Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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