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Canada's housing market both vigorous and stable
$ r) x: l1 a+ p8 c& d( o: m; r& U+ H$ a* d" ?
- Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -
4 ~- \- J8 k! n( _& t& k+ g/ {; {6 @# G4 t/ X
TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market+ c, p O5 V3 r: c6 _
exhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third
& C6 P2 b0 \( n v! g. ?quarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic; |2 b3 y \3 ?6 b. n7 \7 n
in the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit
6 `0 q, E- b/ i$ x# nprice gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and5 {. ^$ P! z' q5 ^
more reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario,5 j( r$ J% k$ T3 F+ H7 l
Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal+ X3 v% R- Z$ d4 D* v; W m4 ^/ h
LePage Real Estate Services./ o/ n6 T* ~- L; \
8 U' E/ A7 E. l Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters: [/ R2 A. A# Q9 m7 t$ R8 ^$ U
are forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic
7 _0 P/ N& w* a" I! zconditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and
9 {1 |0 i3 v) n6 Msound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the
; `. a, |' d% N$ o" J0 Nresidential real estate sector.6 W- u7 w: ~7 _$ w1 J
; @- [2 S* @8 j' n& @
Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation. \# f- t2 S* V0 f/ Q8 f
occurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%)$ R5 n: M0 |/ ^' j7 `2 r
year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562" v6 ]8 `7 ]. l$ G' v: c
(+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380
7 V8 e0 D+ e& \8 l: l7 Y# f2 X( V$ F(+13.2%).2 K) v* s2 B: l9 ^
, ^: L2 X8 u! }8 p/ _+ F; Q* N "Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth
( q2 D; B/ K+ @during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the0 }# q0 D; r# \( L
frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are
! a% V J8 V! t: B7 q! Rpoised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper,$ f# _$ M3 F# E" N5 M
president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services.
) S) g8 E3 U' Y* z" n# n6 b, r' `- ~% l"Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We$ e' f8 V# Q% ^. i+ ]
welcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy5 x Z9 Y7 ~6 D/ D, c. N. A
balanced market."
+ Q; T1 F0 V# ]# N! A* k0 R0 z6 o, l' C$ p' `6 D1 E- v
Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices,
* E1 ]/ N; \( a/ I5 n7 t1 hconsiderable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift/ ~6 Y/ N5 R- }- R4 [( E6 f
to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued
7 P' y/ ]$ f9 J% D7 Lthroughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core
5 ]0 G- @3 [2 V/ P6 |# L! p3 `energy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration, \ ~' @! j' X% V% U! ]
manageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record: w5 \: e- j4 d8 e% M7 D0 J! K7 P% d; w
breaking price appreciations./ |4 M o6 d( B8 ^3 i& W
5 ]$ G5 T: t$ `3 g/ X0 k: m4 b# C Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding
* k1 o' P! u) x" ~1 feconomy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the
$ K3 b$ h' f6 _5 ]0 P/ ~. \7 Flargest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.3 g# }& |6 m5 F. J4 r! p7 l
# i) C. l# K7 o% T& h# I6 Y8 } In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid
. ]0 C+ ?( W' M0 V) Deconomic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer
# k$ Z3 z! ~; [* P2 }, s# cconfidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off
3 n$ \! C T' ?, z4 v; _slightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth.
; Y; F2 u6 D3 \! T) e4 WIn Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers
. N) r: O7 \+ w/ m; s4 h- Z/ @7 o! ngreater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of
; v) A5 @7 \( g* q o; X8 u- xprice appreciation when compared with 2005.
" P' }( f4 @2 k( P. ?, V }$ G, z. d$ l+ a T! N
While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing+ C" Z. ?. O( c$ I- Y7 ~- A
market is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and
, N, E. N, Q# Z3 lfinancial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada
: @1 F/ M e \8 [7 qare markedly different than those found in the United States.
7 R' G8 z7 ~/ z1 Y0 y4 G/ l- f0 A( g
Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the* U% @) ~5 I0 [- P$ _9 k
American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's2 O+ Z o! }+ S7 u# S8 \* j5 M
favour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the
% v6 D; ~! W; C$ ]3 ]. arelatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general
6 d; v3 b# w6 o) a, G$ Faffordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the
: j ] s- O& ]9 `( ^downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and
* z( r) ~, ~( w% F$ K: Naggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization/ X' s* k4 y- O3 v: R' f( z
mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."* S$ `8 s8 A9 N I! \
" `! s4 f8 U' s, o <<; ~* j# I% B* P- D- I
REGIONAL SUMMARIES9 Q* k# a& q: t0 w, r' u6 E
>>
2 S% O2 n( [% a4 l! C$ p, ]( |# r1 D
Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in
+ D/ m6 t' y* N6 u4 P; u/ bHalifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate, z2 F9 U. V2 d& @% n
of price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time5 {% q% T2 H4 Q. f! L
looking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of
( j8 E& ~) q/ C# F* drenovations.$ M* U# W1 p& N/ F3 u
) P* H1 j: P* L, m! g
The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight! y% H- u! b4 _) g
increase in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation: ]1 e9 x. e- H; x/ a# o) f9 q
compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and
5 T8 @& d; Q4 RSeptember and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.
, x% ?8 U6 x5 i( U/ H; p" p2 i; j
" D" L4 T" I5 X( \ c* X The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer1 E/ G" E" @4 M! }
slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the
; B+ i$ [7 W1 r, S0 A. r# Gquarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new
5 J! U' Y5 v( b5 e8 ?3 X4 z5 X; E600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores7 Z* n& b. s: a, b2 g( Q; d* O
to the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes( `& v0 y: j) \) r
and are instead opting for more affordable housing options.8 O) _3 o# ~7 l
- r- m* s6 B6 f+ }- X$ e0 z9 A$ g In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced
7 G. q3 S9 ]2 {conditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their8 [1 e: z3 A) C/ ~/ n
homes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers
/ _6 ]; u. A) i' i; \was down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian( s) ~% F) s/ I
dollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing% G2 t* d( b. ^! U1 p8 E9 z
buyers with more options when looking for a home.
0 m$ _' a- \4 h& m, k3 z
# A6 P9 T, g! L- C& O+ ? Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly
7 s/ |, R( k1 J/ k8 R! }0 Oamong higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes! y3 l1 C) x2 J- t6 y! {5 ^$ F/ @
priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005,; R) m- z2 O0 |+ ]
as some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last+ T( E- N5 |) O* A- u3 k
few years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions.
8 m% D% `( i8 U9 B
! E- l, X" Z0 @ @/ p5 O: q Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house h) E* z, \$ V( X: p- h" }
prices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory
8 k" m- N3 Y2 B' a" t B/ slevels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting
. C, y( _% j! h, U [first-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1,. H Y" D7 v" y7 `
when rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the
" w2 @) k. |' n: o# Q2 }4 B) j5 n! jpressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before# d9 ?0 v) F* {
making a purchase.
3 s' G. ^) S1 G# _5 z0 [ v0 Y6 a$ l7 \
- _# A* U: x# \, e# u Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing
- A3 o @: h8 k2 u- {! M/ @8 jmarkets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong8 P4 ~4 f% z- e# x9 h
confidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city
$ I8 r6 L8 d9 [centre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting5 A3 h0 u0 T1 `
attention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown
4 \8 O5 x# O3 x' I" E. C9 ~: Famenities.
/ X/ [! Q8 \; d4 A. G: H6 g. X+ u- n f% m
The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels
7 v( K# o6 [- ithroughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand5 L" V# q1 I1 Q, {$ I* h, W4 r% F
across the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has& b7 N& M$ I) X0 N) |1 d$ i- {+ r8 _
continued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been
O' e( k3 `3 W/ [driven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle
: Y1 L! I" ]7 W9 `6 vresidence, rather than for investment.
* O: C/ E& W6 O3 Y* h o0 U* Y0 {+ ?. v& p& y7 |" F1 ~
The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as
1 V" `+ C, M& ?2 R2 jhouse prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted5 X8 S1 L. ], U. n8 `4 E( B; a+ b( }
in a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer3 z" k1 n9 q7 z1 l
confidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization
( q9 z* F9 M$ Q! O# irate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter
3 p a# N( B1 cthe market.* G4 r B+ u" s+ X
: [. `) h' w% N5 G" V! ~
In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through7 B/ y& Y- n8 h7 ]
July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In( D* z" Q$ d4 t) y7 j2 v, t
August, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring
) Y8 _7 S; z% g- g, Z+ T7 umonths, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due$ {% f1 N! r+ q U/ d+ S6 |) O
to the shortage of available inventory. j0 e7 u* L m/ q
. _ l+ v: Z" g# {4 r Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its% a7 @- Q* D( s1 _
momentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains& S+ P4 s7 m( w$ n+ R: p# g
vibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses
% a3 v, B% A9 p+ ~, o) \struggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province.3 \+ S+ o/ }5 T; Z8 G
8 `) L* |2 m( N0 y& Y* a* { Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases( j8 B6 Q g0 \! m7 V
in the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low3 {8 J, e+ K- D2 `4 r7 R
unemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that: G$ u) W" |) E, C
pressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring
$ V4 C. ? a% I( r7 r& B5 E! Q+ v8 ^prices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer
/ p1 V! ]$ W3 ~- \- hseason - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as
0 \/ L+ q& i4 jbuyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.. X/ e* a) \$ S% R
# o3 {7 y/ ~. n" D Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter/ V" @4 ?+ F5 H( y; n6 a7 F- _" E
as activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton# _, P: A, T& K, Q' Y+ A
remained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry,2 ^; ?4 t6 k, N9 V: P
maintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices
$ Y; {3 t4 i7 L3 fincreasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve3 O, O! L/ J3 p, ?
in the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly* l2 R3 w4 Q5 _7 B
towards the end of 2006. 6 F' ]$ F' y' z% Y" A2 {; g2 x
4 I$ t; q; B* ~( p6 }
While Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of
, |# P4 C0 l# ^" X( Ginventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable
- E9 } ?3 G! l$ ^" Rto meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse
. _) r; i. z$ g5 v+ c: zgroup of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to
- u' m* _. p" f( c' i* V% K5 Z! W9 dforeign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added$ @9 K% v$ i6 S" R
pressure on tight inventory levels.
1 N6 n2 m) @ b( Z/ J G) i2 e" P" D& W0 \6 w+ x- r
Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic
& l- f# m0 ~0 Y& x0 ~fundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people7 {( C7 G3 l* K3 m1 t, N# C
into the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases;+ ]" y3 U, n( ]
while increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching* p% {2 \) N# E& f
for a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.
# v) L/ c& F- h p. c5 b: t! |# }$ _, J/ G, S. _
<<1 w1 a9 [7 S) q/ K/ R5 J9 z0 a2 M
Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 2006
4 I" T8 L) i; N/ _+ K, b1 d- P2 N8 j, F: J
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- F2 \8 ^) M( ]
Detached Bungalows Standard Two Storey
; t) k) A4 s } -------------------------------------------------------------------------8 C& B X# D. K
2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Bungalow 2006 Q3 2005 Q3
1 s* K4 ^- J) h8 _( [ Market Average Average % Change Average Average
* t E* z' ^3 A! v* y2 S4 t" Y -------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 V3 O# X2 c' Z Halifax 186,333 173,333 7.5% 198,667 199,000# d6 U# U% v7 h. I' {
-------------------------------------------------------------------------3 w$ k& o; @- v, J
Charlottetown 145,000 141,000 2.8% 175,000 170,000- x( I% m4 o/ x$ {
-------------------------------------------------------------------------$ S* l" S6 J9 Z8 z' @' ~
Moncton 135,000 127,000 6.3% 129,000 123,0001 j/ Q4 c j. C
-------------------------------------------------------------------------% T: {* T* j- r
Saint John 141,200 142,900 -1.2% - -9 f! Q, C4 A, ]/ R) o
-------------------------------------------------------------------------6 D" d* `/ E% [2 o7 t5 S3 @' k
St. John's 143,667 142,667 0.7% 200,667 202,3337 B/ Y7 h' p. F' ~
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
- M# J4 U: `- C! W( | Z Atlantic 150,240 145,380 3.3% 175,833 173,5832 Z3 v- I( q- f+ d
-------------------------------------------------------------------------* ?' D+ M$ \& A3 R
Montreal 213,691 203,500 5.0% 321,141 316,185
F* h) B5 f e& k; n, z -------------------------------------------------------------------------
+ ?! d! g& @! Q) E Ottawa 290,083 278,417 4.2% 285,667 273,250
4 k) S) g1 i( E' S# U4 a. l9 x) t -------------------------------------------------------------------------
9 L4 C: z. q* I! I8 C1 `0 Q Toronto 373,368 355,882 4.9% 481,523 474,766* ]# r; ^0 W1 ?9 @: W6 J
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 O' k5 b; N1 Z+ v( X: Y Winnipeg 181,579 159,860 13.6% 202,337 180,7076 q- d9 T( {* @0 Z, z8 |- ]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 y9 c) ^' n, |( M& T Saskatchewan 170,667 156,083 9.3% 182,600 166,500
( g7 d6 Q0 S# [4 \! r1 n -------------------------------------------------------------------------
4 K! |/ ~: B3 R/ P# G! [: A- ~ A Calgary 395,067 252,411 56.5% 405,778 264,3897 E4 M/ _- U/ J5 i* C' `4 W- F
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
, _7 S3 C% @3 e8 [, e* \) V7 H- O! U Edmonton 286,857 194,857 47.2% 316,429 206,714
: L$ h8 L: l9 e D! Y/ Z0 w -------------------------------------------------------------------------
( B0 @: C! v7 ?5 a# m Vancouver 704,250 601,000 17.2% 794,000 697,5009 v) d- [: u; _8 y: a
-------------------------------------------------------------------------( [% ]# p1 i, ~
Victoria 375,000 348,000 7.8% 403,000 391,000
! [5 R7 C: V0 p# v5 e" w -------------------------------------------------------------------------
}. `1 p5 q% m) L$ s: Y& s4 D National 300,365 258,202 16.3% 365,380 322,860
9 o) L/ E! d! t) l! _! o; N -------------------------------------------------------------------------
- I& n! f% b+ Y
3 g& V, c d8 _1 N -------------------------------------------------------------
8 W+ s, y- C5 X0 ~ Standard Condominium$ t5 B3 |1 D+ W9 `% }
-------------------------------------------------------------
- d: _2 W3 U1 i& G9 i 2-Storey 2006 Q3 2005 Q3 Condo
( {0 Q3 ~. | q! W Market % Change Average Average % Change* X6 U" H7 Y* O1 @4 l/ ?5 D
-------------------------------------------------------------
& u7 d# B. m. [* u4 S* c2 F Halifax -0.2% 142,000 103,000 37.9%
2 z3 s) @" | U% h& [$ y -------------------------------------------------------------
& S# D: W# c/ B* { Charlottetown 2.9% 98,000 98,000 0.0%8 a5 X4 W6 l/ K( P9 w
-------------------------------------------------------------
. s% T' a, p7 L2 p2 j* w: W Moncton 4.9% - - N/A/ n% J* w& d/ U' |" J) v* w$ k2 D
-------------------------------------------------------------
* ` g; A5 G$ h$ e& W Saint John N/A - - N/A
0 q6 w; W+ n1 m -------------------------------------------------------------* G) ?4 _0 B! R0 \# l7 w
St. John's -0.8% 146,333 145,667 0.5%
( x* A( P7 R8 ] -------------------------------------------------------------0 U5 ~5 J+ @9 x" t) ]- Z
Atlantic 1.3% 128,778 115,556 11.4%
# s! H* b. D( P, L9 O -------------------------------------------------------------4 A/ {$ n, E% B
Montreal 1.6% 193,190 188,016 2.8%6 T- m! m( S' S% t
-------------------------------------------------------------5 ` f" |$ P2 S2 a4 i H5 k$ [
Ottawa 4.5% 181,083 172,250 5.1%8 Z: a. s* Y ~# r- z9 O$ l
-------------------------------------------------------------; v, s9 y8 v8 U+ T \ `9 [
Toronto 1.4% 252,088 242,918 3.8%, Z r' {: M6 Q" V; \2 y4 ~
-------------------------------------------------------------) X G! o9 F9 h( y- U" q8 _9 f
Winnipeg 12.0% 105,648 96,008 10.0%0 M, C7 a# v @4 d
-------------------------------------------------------------
0 \5 `6 t2 b: S( s' T( E Saskatchewan 9.7% 106,250 101,000 5.2%
6 G0 B4 M) Y. K -------------------------------------------------------------. d8 d- R, F3 z2 q+ w
Calgary 53.5% 245,844 153,867 59.8%
. |7 g9 F0 x/ p7 y& d9 k- R -------------------------------------------------------------( e' k! A; |# ]5 ]% l) f+ ^
Edmonton 53.1% 200,433 131,500 52.4%
% I/ F ?5 e5 l, Q0 { -------------------------------------------------------------
. [( C9 [; N5 V; x0 x Vancouver 13.8% 366,250 323,250 13.3%
# e9 h6 t+ z$ w9 j -------------------------------------------------------------
. j! j5 N8 |7 x9 [! P Victoria 3.1% 229,000 220,000 4.1%/ |* L% p+ w' ?* O* D7 m) M
-------------------------------------------------------------
$ @8 M8 S1 h7 p! { g National 13.2% 211,562 185,296 14.2%
$ h1 [" b) d/ X -------------------------------------------------------------8 X2 g* H8 K( Y! r) _
>>
* H3 E3 t( Y( E! B5 H0 {4 g$ |& X/ A7 H4 x8 f3 p
Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined& |7 }* q6 E! g8 T# C1 s
in the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint: X$ M2 a* o3 c9 N6 o! A
John and Victoria.
1 K9 `; P6 m$ D: L V/ S, U: I$ c: U' L. A x( o% d
The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most2 P3 f0 J D- \2 T; g% ?# t% F
comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of
, J& h8 v$ Q+ [- Zhousing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release$ g/ i" {% c9 U$ K* R8 Y6 Z& D$ u
references an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price; x/ B5 a; l/ ?1 ^
trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities% D" T: R: O0 y
across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is
- [0 ^# \% l- B; \# N+ l+ |available on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current2 Y# q' |2 o- m% P+ n m
figures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable5 l% @% @5 J: M( l, b, w
version of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on
/ c' W! ~8 f3 V9 D. j$ T% mNovember 15, 2006.% u7 A% a9 U1 d0 m& |5 Y4 G
Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of
1 m- Y8 c1 |( W- f% d! r( efair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge2 m% x- Z$ Q; Z& K! u. ]2 j2 c
provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is
) ~% g0 b6 L/ k; savailable for some areas back to the early 1970s. |
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发表于 2006-9-29 08:09
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