市场上到底有多少闲置待售的房子? - Sellers are overly optimistic

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2007-1-23 22:02

CBC关于卡城待售房40%空置率的原文 -- 醉酒真的预测失败了吗?

Sellers are overly optimistic: real estate agent
Last Updated: Monday, January 15, 2007 | 3:32 PM MT
CBC News
At least a third of condos and houses on the market in Calgary are vacant, prompting concern from a real estate agent that sellers aren't being realistic about the price they hope to get for their properties.

"Sellers are having a hard time grasping that we are not in early last year's market," said Kristen McNaughton, a Calgary real estate agent.

"In the fall, we definitely saw a dip, and it cooled down to more of a balanced market and that's what needed to happen."

Housing prices soared 38 per cent in Calgary in 2006, with the average price for a single-family home at $396,870. In 2005, prices went up 18 per cent.

But as a new year begins, the Calgary Real Estate Board said the vacancy rate in listed houses has reached 33 per cent, while in condos it is at 40 per cent.

McNaughton said sellers with vacant properties may have bought in hopes of reselling, or recently moved to newly built homes. The next two weeks will say a lot about the 2007 market, she said, with sellers either pulling their properties off the market to rent them, or lowering their prices.

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Kevin Clark, president of the Calgary Real Estate Board, said almost half of the properties that sold in December went at a reduced price.

"There are properties that were overpriced, are still overpriced and haven't sold, and therefore becoming vacant," he said.

Clients unwilling to drop their prices are banking on the possibility that the market will again get red hot, McNaughton said.

[ 本帖最后由醉酒当歌于 2007-1-23 22:12 编辑 ]

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2007-1-23 22:08

据确切消息，卡加利各大银行共收回600多套房子，因为这些homeowners付不出morgage!
房地产确要降温了！ --来自卡城网站zt

到这里注册一下，就能看到准确数字了！
http://www.pauldaggett.com/

2007/01/16 06:30pm

在list 上是 Active 状态的
house 共 432 套
condom 共 134 套

注意以上数据不包含处于penging 状态的房子。

[ 本帖最后由醉酒当歌于 2007-1-23 22:13 编辑 ]

九阴白骨爪 · 发表于 2007-1-23 22:35

众人皆醉我独醒。难道真理真得掌握在少数人手里吗？

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2007-1-25 19:00

这是这里的很多人不愿意看到的。所以，就说：醉酒的预测一塌糊涂，我是说：醉酒没有全错最起码在卡城是预测正确的。

原帖由 九阴白骨爪 于 2007-1-23 22:35 发表+ c4 S% A$ e$ b& R g
众人皆醉我独醒。难道真理真得掌握在少数人手里吗？

在水一方 · 发表于 2007-1-25 19:40

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2007-1-25 19:00 发表
# r" x) I* u" f这是这里的很多人不愿意看到的。所以，就说：醉酒的预测一塌糊涂，我是说：醉酒没有全错最起码在卡城是预测正确的。0 [" ]8 a. J0 @
% ^0 ]/ @9 J% K

醉酒没有全错最起码在卡城是预测正确的。

kevin20000 · 发表于 2007-1-25 20:04

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2007-1-25 19:00 发表
- w: |+ V) R7 F, p( T这是这里的很多人不愿意看到的。所以，就说：醉酒的预测一塌糊涂，我是说：醉酒没有全错最起码在卡城是预测正确的。3 M( p9 P4 u# N/ f! ~
6 C- C2 W) v e4 g

为啥说这里很多人不愿意看到房子要降价？都买了房投资？

kaleli · 发表于 2007-1-25 20:16

房地产确实要降温，不可能以每年30%+的速度上升。但是降温不代表房价会下降。在有1点，如果是自住，买房还是值得的。

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2007-1-23 22:08 发表
# L: H5 G+ K5 w5 n* k据确切消息，卡加利各大银行共收回600多套房子，因为这些homeowners付不出morgage!4 C) E* ~" X$ E# e
房地产确要降温了！ --来自卡城网站zt) s+ g. P9 ]. R X0 U7 l
) V: K( \( H3 G4 d- s8 P$ j! [& j
到这里注册一下，就能看到准确数字了！3 j' `# F/ [0 D- Z& k: b
http://www.pauldaggett.com/
- z$ x9 v; O. A
7 v4 w* Y2 _7 C* j; Z9 R: Z0 p2007/01 ...

老杨 · 发表于 2007-1-25 22:14

拜托楼主，能不能翻译一下？哪怕总结一下中心思想也好！

kite · 发表于 2007-1-25 23:47

原帖由老杨于 2007-1-25 22:14 发表
% {% f" [* o& K# m拜托楼主，能不能翻译一下？哪怕总结一下中心思想也好！

房子因为炒作，涨得过火了，现在卡加利房子的空置率节节高，爱城也紧随其后。看看那些价位高的房子有多难卖就心中有数了。还好我在前两年就买了房子。要是放在现在，我可不敢买。

这个版不太友好，跟本没有言论自由，只要涉及到油价跌，房价跌就会被群起攻击，我发的帖子也被人删了。足以看出那些炒房人内心的恐惧！

[ 本帖最后由 kite 于 2007-1-25 23:58 编辑 ]

冰糖葫芦 · 发表于 2007-1-26 08:33

原帖由 kite 于 2007-1-25 23:47 发表
5 R/ o4 Z  u; E2 B  U2 n! q" E$ a5 N. n9 Y! U8 V% B

( `' Y/ ?- K0 @4 w4 E8 O% T4 }: `+ x  j
房子因为炒作，涨得过火了，现在卡加利房子的空置率节节高，爱城也紧随其后。看看那些价位高的房子有多难卖就心中有数了。还好我在前两年就买了房子。要是放在现在，我可不敢买。
+ ?2 M- w, _; d1 W  Q3 R
, z# O/ R6 V& s; x这个版不太友好，跟本 ...

xge · 发表于 2007-1-26 08:41

请LZ预测一下再过2个月卡城还有多少待售的房子. 我觉得会比例会下降.

abcdefgh · 发表于 2007-1-26 09:08

你的贴子被删了可能是因为含有不文明词汇。

原帖由 kite 于 2007-1-25 23:47 发表9 \$ ~6 y4 K0 F, V; V! J& x( W4 P" I9 Z
% G, v+ z# a9 f' T' n. \

/ J; e" M* P+ V; c4 d  E# w% }' l- Z4 `, R  z/ g0 v4 x
房子因为炒作，涨得过火了，现在卡加利房子的空置率节节高，爱城也紧随其后。看看那些价位高的房子有多难卖就心中有数了。还好我在前两年就买了房子。要是放在现在，我可不敢买。6 x3 x2 m" B1 l& V* H! o$ E/ E7 A  a

8 H5 s  ]# e! t8 w+ q0 b这个版不太友好，跟本 ...

kite · 发表于 2007-1-26 10:42

原帖由 abcdefgh 于 2007-1-26 09:08 发表% y5 v( x1 Y# X" e- E# N* }- m
你的贴子被删了可能是因为含有不文明词汇。

你错了，是含有太多不利于炒房人粉饰房事太平的词汇。

ligeree · 发表于 2007-1-26 11:43

It's not about speaking freely, or express different opinion, it's about lying, you liar.
You lie. so people can curse you. No mercy to liars.

原帖由 kite 于 2007-1-25 23:47 发表! J; ]3 |+ h9 D+ ^2 c$ G$ e

5 T: r4 C% O' d! I2 o# ^2 }( k: d0 A
( _( \" [7 d& b: N/ b _" o4 V8 g! a
+ j' w& o" g# p+ W t) a房子因为炒作，涨得过火了，现在卡加利房子的空置率节节高，爱城也紧随其后。看看那些价位高的房子有多难卖就心中有数了。还好我在前两年就买了房子。要是放在现在，我可不敢买。
& t) w; L, Y* Y
( J* c9 z* b) z4 X这个版不太友好，跟本 ...

[ 本帖最后由 ligeree 于 2007-1-26 11:44 编辑 ]

kite · 发表于 2007-1-26 11:49

原帖由 ligeree 于 2007-1-26 11:43 发表% s8 x( H4 m2 Z+ m6 b' f
It's not about speaking freely, or express different opinion, it's about lying, you liar.
1 ]$ `+ r, W9 l2 DYou lie. so people can curse you. No mercy to liars.# q& F' _# q6 t/ a# z
& T* U b- z: P5 `, Q' W# \

If what I said are rumors, you can leave my topic there letting people judge. Because you are so afraid of more and more people see the truth. you tried your best to take it away, and you did it! you liar and evil!

胖妹妹 · 发表于 2007-1-26 12:13

Not really.Nobody delete drunk's

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市场上到底有多少闲置待售的房子? - Sellers are overly optimistic

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