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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
H# M3 Q+ D- y! CNow, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
0 p4 b" h2 x. B' p% ?1 OIf we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.( z: `" H* X& @( Y n/ H
TD can give you 4.2%.
4 s7 N; u/ S- ]5 @7 pBMO can give you 4.3%.
* h+ Q/ w/ h. b' xRBC can give you 4.0%.
( P7 E# ]: ^ o% Z3 V8 d0 |(Roughly). w) I$ L4 U, p& r) n
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.9 k5 z" a7 f6 ?- C; ^7 B
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.9 b7 T, s @ Z
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.2 R2 e$ J. Q$ @" r: ~6 Q7 K6 B
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.$ x/ s' t1 U# Y1 w
Rough calculation:) Q/ T% y o/ \1 |7 b
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03
6 ^0 e, Y- m: o0 W4 P+ rBuy 10000 US cost you 105000' T+ \9 k& [) E1 v
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
6 V) O& r" c. _9 n" p* dIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
; B. q6 u: m& Y! ]If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.. P% K U |9 N. D
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
6 v* Q+ p& a$ @+ vBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.) |4 F/ _: a& n J) i2 r
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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