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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.3 l# _' B7 d6 z) V* E! t2 @4 [
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.3 z9 C; W6 Q2 S: f R5 e/ r
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
7 p7 i, \ q! d; X9 hTD can give you 4.2%.
, z- s( z4 i* mBMO can give you 4.3%.
; F/ T1 o% c* e8 T, H7 A( rRBC can give you 4.0%.9 n$ T) r: H( ~8 H& r. l1 }: T
(Roughly)
8 |* c- B3 p2 @, R0 AIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.& d+ k$ Z2 m! F
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
8 P; Q1 v( D U5 n wAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
4 e6 l: O7 L2 KFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
9 Z# p- m* _$ _# t% {, A lRough calculation:
( O4 i' f' t4 i% e; zRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03' t) K& i7 J& m1 N k, z' ~
Buy 10000 US cost you 1050008 d; v5 a9 p$ A$ V# \; Q$ K3 `
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 1040006 \2 t" z6 h& ]) N! N9 |) ^& }8 Q' P
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.6 f2 @7 H. ?9 D
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.. p. `9 [9 P; X: Z! N1 h' x4 {
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.4 `7 c- r/ E, q7 j. c$ }
But, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.$ ^. [ ?- v% c0 c& \# V! f0 ? F( L
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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