Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
( q/ s$ s9 [1 |, e* eIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
& F2 {/ }3 z4 E% E# _1 G0 |Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
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Date      Inventory  New Listings Added  Sales  30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio  

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%
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Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%
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6 {1 {+ ]" k: Y1 u' AAug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%
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Jul 2007
) M' X- R+ g; K: Z& q  _" o NA
2328
717
442,752
4 r' _2 x! P; j+ }; Q 410,000
$ {4 R9 W; K# L; H, M7 F 320
! H. g# ?0 C; W- c! Y% N* R( _ 28
7 X! [5 U, |  k2 Q2 I% ~ 31%
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Jun 2007
2 a: W% @* R4 b' a& `; w5 Y NA
' h4 h! p7 t1 D  ^# B# j+ O4 z7 r 2661
1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
38%

3 u9 }! r$ }! I+ bMay 2007
NA
2288
1261
451,216
415,000
322
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55%

紫光

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151

景之白干

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

3 q2 O. }5 _3 N5 M: D) r- k用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
' b' Z4 \+ m  _$ @: r2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z

原帖由 紫光 于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
+ {: @4 F, g) b" T存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
# {7 p" X- R# W0 S( L鉴定完毕！

: l6 w1 s& m. ?5 A
0 O9 r. i9 Q4 h$ Q0 O呵呵，太不专业了吧。

, e( d0 R$ S1 I2 p1 m! Q1 k9 U新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量
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就是说， 存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量
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% u* S) {+ @$ A8 ]这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
# F8 h( x7 X7 P; dDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
- t) H2 R0 \; ]- u/ c8 ]8 JDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
6 f1 w+ K" ~, W6 F# Z' u* ^Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表
9 Q0 ?( e5 @( U( BIn average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
4 Q9 B0 t9 P4 C5 B; v. L3 t0 OHow about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

( {9 f. |1 e" kI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
; D1 |5 w7 N+ x2 d! Y: [! ^5 PEdmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the  ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
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! W5 ?; h7 X6 ]0 Q+ mI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

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WST

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表
( @+ d) b) v' @- Z" G4 h* M1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

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只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST

上图为days inventory 和 总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
$ t, w1 J% ?1 |! J看来，观察days inventory 更重要。