 鲜花( 1)  鸡蛋( 0)
|
Oilsands an emerging global growth star) q7 ?0 V4 Q3 O8 U' a: y# c& x
ExxonMobil forecast predicts output of four million barrels a day by 2030! R2 z- ~7 F; _+ I# E/ t. y
Gordon Jaremko, The Edmonton Journal6 K% g4 ~& u* M) k0 r
Published: 2:37 am+ v; {. C# O! D
EDMONTON - As oil leaps towards a new landmark high of $100 US a barrel, the world's top investor-owned producer has singled out Alberta as an emerging global star of production growth.: V9 Y/ f2 T3 f$ i( q/ ]/ P7 n
. O% N" S" O9 A3 n* \# h
Oilsands output will multiply fourfold to more than four million barrels daily by 2030, ExxonMobil Corp. predicts in a new international industry outlook report. And that forecast errs on the conservative side by projecting "fundamentals" of demand and supply trends instead of relying on prices to stay sky-high, ExxonMobil spokesman Allan Jeffers said Tuesday.. t+ o/ f* E* ]5 E
" H( K( Q3 S% m/ z; g/ s3 n
Oil jumped to $96.67 a barrel, up $2.69 in New York trading Tuesday on fears of global supply disruptions after storms battered North Sea production platforms and guerrillas attacked a pipeline in Yemen.
: f' _: o4 s4 ~& ~. L/ X. X7 g( p! @# L+ D7 b! S
+ o' Y1 j7 @- P1 o( C
View Larger Image
8 X# w( ?& R. D' xGasoline prices in Edmonton were 99.9 cents per litre at many stations on Tuesday.1 a( }* U7 L- v& |& |1 q
Larry Wong, The Journal
. t( H9 a; [8 ?' E/ L0 o& p
: e5 v- V* D* V+ E( y! `) [+ PEdmonton refinery postings for Alberta output Tuesday ranged from $60.74 for low-grade heavy crude to $91.11 for premium oilsands synthetic production. The Canadian benchmarks are translations of international prices, adjusted for pipeline tolls and currency exchange rates.
! M, @7 c+ K# O4 Q! S( v! |$ S& Q8 r+ a) h f3 s
ExxonMobil's high oilsands expectations are realistic and reasonable, said Bob Dunbar, an Alberta industry veteran whose Strategy West Inc. specializes in the field.* Y) c A; [! X9 f, Q0 ?) h+ _
3 S! C" J3 ?+ Q" e1 s9 y' u* HOutput from the northern bitumen belt would grow to six million barrels a day if all known projects were built on their announced schedules, Dunbar said.
8 ^+ N/ X V0 f4 A) E
* d( j3 E2 Z) R; }, W# o6 d- _While no one believes the current spike will last, the looming new record high is seen as confirming that a new era of premium prices has arrived to stay, he said.
$ o/ m; S9 G7 d: g1 _# Z& G( F2 u# i) O4 S* S" A/ p. q1 L
When the oilsands rush began in the late 1990s developers only relied on markets to stay in a range of $20 to $30 a barrel. To be profitable, new projects today count on sustained averages in a higher band of $60 to $70, Dunbar estimated. |
|