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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009. 7 ^/ v5 H9 H% ?( G1 ^+ @$ l
( W+ Z0 q; E/ D% GThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next.
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.! Q# T+ P( L3 j' j$ y0 t6 q
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It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan.
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& f" x6 U( d; S5 K2 h/ w8 q# AHowever, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease." , O) C6 b. w e, ?* R
# b8 J. K7 ?6 d K+ s3 T2 lIt says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built. ' w }* l8 p0 P& x& T
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The prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.5 [/ B( ~: ^$ Q
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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