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House prices are going to go up next year, albeit by a mere $200, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.
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The Crown corporation warned that some moderation can be expected in the once red-hot housing sector for the rest of this year and into 2009.
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, U* }; i* @8 I) Q3 v6 j+ ZThe forecast comes as house prices have been falling nationally, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. Canada's largest housing markets have experienced prices declines from a year ago for four straight months, with each percentage drop bigger than the next. * y1 i ?+ D. m2 G1 I! z: Z+ i
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Now CMHC has waded into the debate with its own forecast that despite the recent trend, home sale prices should edge up this year.
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6 D1 S: J! k, x8 E6 J& O( ]It expects the average price of a home sold to rise to $306,500 from $305,707. By next year the average sale price is forecast to rise to $306,700.4 o! D& s. i& p7 q7 d5 Q3 j
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"High employment levels, rising incomes and low mortgage rates have continued to provide a solid foundation for healthy housing markets this year," said Bob Dugan. + n- Y5 e0 ^9 e( p* X# c
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However, CMHC is clearly predicting a pullback and titled its latest report, "Housing market starting to ease."
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It says for the first time in seven years the number of new homes built across the country will dip below 200,000.
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2 [) m9 [. D Z" J# q( @The agency is forecasting 212,188 starts for this year which will be a drop from the 228,343 homes built in 2007. By 2009, the forecast is for 177,975 new homes to be built.
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- a: t+ V+ t* E8 k$ WThe prognosis is not much better for the sales of existing homes. After setting an all-time sales record of 523,701 transactions in 2007, sales are expected to drop to 452,225 in 2008 and 433,375 in 2009.- d3 ~) Z* r, W9 t; P+ k2 r. Y
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CMHC says those sales are "still strong" by historical standards. |
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