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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; Q- p! ^, c8 z1 _) S* m u1 ^" YOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight8 Z+ ^; H R9 {& {
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
O9 J2 x, @: c% ~5 o% g' l+ V+ graised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal9 F7 ^) W2 S: e* a& v- }
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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; T# ~, E, l8 E7 @" B4 rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
* Y( E' K+ h" ~! |* tstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the t" z9 y/ U* b
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
7 j, y( w# j% o4 j$ _7 [! min Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
1 @: N5 t9 X/ N" {- O) }In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
1 ?/ @( w! R2 ~; Y/ @stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
3 w7 Q6 E' `# ^! H3 a; X) }' p3 |variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result3 ~. s: Y+ I! Z8 H
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
9 z* ?- C. `4 j5 _4 _important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
4 G9 f: R4 i' b/ r, xspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
5 W" V! r) z" m9 }: N0 uprices and some tightening of financial conditions./ _& K0 z) D+ ]
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent0 A4 n2 b( }* `# M+ J7 p g: |
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
2 C* c7 h1 E1 [; c* GGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with1 C5 T# i7 D# `/ Z
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more; |* M! {% F6 ] n( |) V& e
balanced recovery.' v% r+ m; r; {/ F! [
9 u& R n' T- @: _* `) t2 b: lCPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects# I2 R \* X4 c. O h" b
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess4 y/ A- E8 L+ J9 [& t7 W$ N1 R' c
supply.
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% ^ C: p1 A3 q6 ?: s3 T& mIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
4 [) |# z, \. T* B* xto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
2 R" W5 N% u3 u) F/ k( p& gmonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the ! K- ^% s, {, @5 l' h% Z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ w! T9 M( n7 |" h7 T6 OGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary6 }1 ^. `( Q2 C5 P: f5 g
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
0 n/ Y; y9 M5 n' K: x3 g0 H* Zdevelopments.
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) i. j/ F( |. {: mInformation note:
$ d1 @4 [7 m0 s) @! zThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update3 F4 t% m. r! C% \7 R3 _# t6 s
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be* T8 k, c! F+ z+ n7 r9 M/ M; ]
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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