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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market/ T0 j$ k$ d# H5 e; L3 S
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& |2 W; U9 D* P$ R% l6 @1 z
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
2 H: ]/ R7 e+ o: |raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal6 R( m; q. t* E2 P z
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.: q( g/ D* H8 M$ Y" D! r& n
* m* P9 ^3 z! d9 w1 YThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with/ L y& J; _$ p/ [( [0 q+ D; f: r! i
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the8 G5 U$ N0 k6 q7 \
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness) ? e; X3 y* t( i+ e
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
) K/ @' h/ L- U! _6 }4 i5 A# v4 W. ~ SIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
8 j9 E) q Q. t4 |. L0 vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the# z$ G7 _ [8 A9 g9 u
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
/ ?' J( ]$ i* K$ D' `in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an0 m9 E2 J" D$ A& B4 j
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
6 i) _( v8 o* \: m. t1 Pspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity- s4 K. K, |# G9 k r2 ]
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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. t7 c( J0 p+ a$ H8 sActivity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent* O/ ~0 A/ e7 p/ r* f; ^
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.) v5 K' r; _8 H2 X8 U" r
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
3 m- b B l- z+ J+ X2 D9 fincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more) r8 g0 |/ f& r% W4 |
balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects) a p2 B" P( Q6 z
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess/ k! U0 \6 F/ k
supply.( f) d, `5 O8 q" s/ ]
0 r* Q6 z0 \! A6 H6 j+ V8 H2 uIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
$ g( m' h* J# v' m3 j" |to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 5 i( F( e: [2 r: n+ Q
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
6 G1 ` Z0 j5 y# U0 d! vsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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0 p+ S" ]; W! o$ ~: C" q0 `, IGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
' ~9 s3 J, _, h$ U+ {0 Y2 l2 Cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic' P! j0 C8 X" I
developments.( @5 C. F: M g) s; J) Y' ]
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Information note:4 k3 F7 O1 L4 |! j! ]; l
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update- E2 y8 v6 j0 z6 Q) v$ W8 T
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be/ U$ S* K* b- Z; |9 d
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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