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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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; v i* Z$ Z8 {# W. ~6 ]0 zOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
* x1 Y- X, e9 w- @0 yrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
+ U4 Y0 G2 v( F4 uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 k" H- W" {( \9 M3 }( r% Q6 _9 ^operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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) r" O2 b' \- s' C* rThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
" h, U7 b. L% x. a. C$ ~ ustrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
& ?# v$ E+ H6 W* ~2 [. _) n" D3 XUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness& c; v& D; e* p% P1 V* z, F; Y
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
% |# S! h' W1 {9 T' m BIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
& y p* r( m: n/ s0 l% |stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
; m9 m6 v4 t" Wvariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
7 I* _8 j6 a! {$ S1 bin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
# [4 G: I9 S9 X& h, }important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
) v2 Y3 h% I' t/ K$ J/ |9 h- gspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
9 X! I! v3 d8 L6 W" G( C/ C, s$ N+ a! yprices and some tightening of financial conditions.' Y6 z8 g$ r; S2 [, f' |' X5 P" _
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
2 Y! P9 ~. e+ }3 K9 R$ d% Jin the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
% E% q( Q' g" ]) i1 {, GGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with. E0 v+ v1 r* z" ]
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more8 [$ _: M2 o6 D, Q
balanced recovery.! y8 b% ]# J; l, c" g
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# f0 k5 e; K. Nthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess3 T& L! i8 B7 r: Q
supply.7 T5 Z" I1 k$ N8 F, E8 i9 v5 t5 H
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
) ^' J/ f- t* W& n+ F0 O! Bto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable # i6 i l3 K: k& f. I
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 4 v7 O0 M1 ?" b6 d: z
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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" V. N2 |% P7 q, S9 sGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
' c8 Y) S0 p4 T! M% _5 U" bstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic0 a. l0 I) K. b6 K
developments.
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Information note:; N' u1 N/ G0 ^( i Y
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update, \' @) D4 {. D: Q0 f! P, g4 F9 w
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be" l+ X" _1 Y: ^% b; y: O
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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