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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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0 h; I1 S8 f, O F" y2 vOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
" f; U0 p' \0 d' J/ H. Xrate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
8 A% t5 X( c) C; s0 praised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal2 P- |8 ?4 ?4 ?9 e5 t. A
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.- Q9 G3 C6 |& u, m" M
' Y. D1 R: O0 O9 I* R, fThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
5 T+ n; k. S7 m9 n7 Gstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
! y/ x' H+ v9 g8 IUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 }2 L x# ^" e6 Yin Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.% L- H* e; H% {% x. @1 N* V; s( U
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
* j5 p' L$ M ~4 n" vstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
. _4 `( _6 m' E/ evariability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result8 W& p! f6 K+ V" U8 W7 u4 V
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an/ j4 y9 U) Q7 _- y8 E
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
% H4 T2 N, S, N5 u5 j. zspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& y# s3 E1 b, E+ sprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent/ p9 ?/ @+ Q* J( V
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed." @9 B( D! ~# t( o9 _( ^
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
. z, \* m+ z% p: Y4 i wincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
0 @: J9 ?. {/ Y+ A; lbalanced recovery.& \5 n5 C) R, i% K: [: v
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects5 R0 Y' Q+ d5 p' R- V k/ x
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
, I! @3 E& N- s6 L$ k& M7 ~supply.
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
& J( K. Z5 E" d; R. \ hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 8 H! c9 i1 b |. ]% Q1 N
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
- K/ S, K, Y8 C( m+ w- ssignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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' J4 R1 B) x2 @, qGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary! e: T$ `9 x, x9 @8 G
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
" o$ ~0 q( [ l7 n5 \developments.) w. P6 {. ~5 ~) x, \; K7 ?* \( d
% V4 W/ B" |4 v7 yInformation note:4 X2 }$ U4 y7 ^6 i# a) H8 Q6 {
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update0 Y+ |6 B+ ~( u/ G0 T
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
2 {% L8 c" I7 z* b% X* w( r7 g9 Wpublished in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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