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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market3 n+ t! ^- o8 X4 b* `
* V: C* E6 F+ rOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight& T+ Z0 M3 l7 Z: D* a
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
9 K& u( [! F6 a: _& traised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
7 o# n( X' q* x/ Z$ f4 Boperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.* z; Z, C# w" |$ G r+ X' \
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with6 \4 B1 z* z% r! o
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the! F+ i0 Q2 Q$ w( w+ B' j
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness: C1 ?& |# c( V
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
( ^" k' j H P5 ^4 YIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
0 f2 U% m* P: C3 F( m! S& O! rstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the5 B: \8 @, x9 W( n/ x9 W
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
- M1 \9 e! x( q, V0 [( u" s" oin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an% ^4 U; p6 f+ X# W. c5 a
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the1 M- {& y, {+ T y( X
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity* F J7 ^2 w% R; e6 c6 L
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.6 B7 {0 i' q" ]
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
b! y y& j* N6 e2 K+ min the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed., K4 X/ r# q6 F# S d' ~, U! B
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
( ]0 p+ J' o; l; I: h- _3 Gincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
3 U% n" |( A" z- I( }balanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
# b& c5 [0 `* P5 Gthe combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& B. x/ i" Y2 N9 |supply.9 N1 R! g+ T* ?9 I1 g9 s
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and3 a- O- a3 O2 ]3 F$ x8 i$ R
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable 7 ?" O) i* t6 l' Q/ e0 o
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 3 ~& {0 m. f5 O" w9 L
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
; s6 d l& ^5 ]& R- ?1 i* ystimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
* g5 L3 R( q. Z- u' ~; X: bdevelopments.- F4 w/ b. K8 ^& a. Q
4 g9 g5 \4 s8 J3 v; c. \Information note:
7 s Q/ d! R m' |, I( y. RThe next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update0 C7 p y8 L" _6 p- T) V* w
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
( n4 m) h6 C, x [published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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