Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds

dave2004

Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds
Affordability gap grows  

: _( t, C8 p: h, YFinancial Post
/ T. x' S0 W" }* W+ DPublished: Wednesday, October 18, 2006
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0 W: ]7 ~) B/ H+ @Why own a house when you can rent the same property for a lot less?
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% ]1 i* E& n% K7 ~2 D2 v1 S& J+ FA new study from Bank of Nova Scotia says the pendulum has swung back in favour of tenants.
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* r" E. S, J/ |"The affordability gap between renting and owning is at its highest level since 1990," said Adrienne Warren, senior economist with the bank.
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The study found the average monthly mortgage payment in Canada in 2005 was $1,304 based on a $250,000 house with 10% down payment. That compares with an average rent of $731 for a typical two-bedroom apartment last year. That $573 gap is projected to climb to $800 in 2006.
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: O1 r# A: ?# C7 V+ t3 m"This is a fairly typical pattern that you see in housing. As house prices move up, affordability becomes an issue for first-time buyers," said Ms. Warren, adding renting becomes a more viable option.

The current gap between owning versus renting would be even wider if the Scotiabank report took into consideration home ownership issues such as taxes and general upkeep.
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8 c  I0 }0 h+ e# a/ q4 i7 mMs. Warren predicts a slowdown in the housing market with a tighter rental market leading to increased rents. "We will see a levelling off of vacancy rates. I don't think we will see landlords offering the same incentives, like free rent for a month," she said.
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One problem with the national number is it masks major regional differences, she said. The gap between owning and renting varied wildly across the country from a $31 monthly premium in Winnipeg in 2005 to $1,220 in Vancouver.

) U3 I2 o* S9 K: d  o) UGenerally though, the trend across the country is home ownership costs are rising faster than rental rates.
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Between 2000 and 2005, rental costs have increased nationwide at a 1.3% annual pace. During the same period, home ownership costs nationwide increased 2.7% annually.

9 |+ ^: Z/ z/ A: ~+ j6 x: x4 IOne side affect of declining affordability has been a slew of new mortgage products that have had the effect of lowering the monthly carrying costs of a loan. More and more consumers are buying products that allow them to pay off their mortgage based on a 35-year payment plan as opposed to a 25-year plan, which had been the norm for years.
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Ms. Warren noted that the $1,304 monthly mortgage costs for a $250,000 home with a $25,000 down payment would go down to $1,073 per month under a 35-year plan.
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$ R' c9 r$ u9 M9 ~5 p) LReal estate author Don Campbell said there is no question renting has become a better deal for consumers over the last few years. "When interest rates come back down, the pendulum will swing back to the homeowner," he said.

% \3 v# f, ^0 \* R$ F; ~* f1 Z$ r: EHowever, Mr. Campbell said apartments are affected by rent controls in many markets.
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: [% [$ {' M$ x  _: u+ r5 E7 h) ["In markets in the West, where it is not as controlled, rental rates are starting to take off. A two-bedroom unit in a 1970 building in Fort McMurray is $1,500, and that's in the middle of nowhere. Even basic townhouses in Edmonton that rented for $800 last year are up over $1,000," he said.

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Disclaimer: This is just published research data and do not express my position.