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Rentals cheaper as mortgages climb, study finds
2 G; J; y& v. P* _. j, S* kAffordability gap grows
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2 {1 l5 C0 a4 {% S% }Financial Post* Z6 S9 i: j: B4 }5 l
Published: Wednesday, October 18, 2006 3 r3 \" m1 f; R0 C
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Why own a house when you can rent the same property for a lot less?
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) \ g* w: b2 W% \% @1 ]+ jA new study from Bank of Nova Scotia says the pendulum has swung back in favour of tenants.% B' [" H0 j0 E! Y
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"The affordability gap between renting and owning is at its highest level since 1990," said Adrienne Warren, senior economist with the bank.
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The study found the average monthly mortgage payment in Canada in 2005 was $1,304 based on a $250,000 house with 10% down payment. That compares with an average rent of $731 for a typical two-bedroom apartment last year. That $573 gap is projected to climb to $800 in 2006./ h# S* S2 z c& L1 z" q
/ u0 Q! X. W3 v) v"This is a fairly typical pattern that you see in housing. As house prices move up, affordability becomes an issue for first-time buyers," said Ms. Warren, adding renting becomes a more viable option.6 v! ?4 v/ S& H. |
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The current gap between owning versus renting would be even wider if the Scotiabank report took into consideration home ownership issues such as taxes and general upkeep.
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Ms. Warren predicts a slowdown in the housing market with a tighter rental market leading to increased rents. "We will see a levelling off of vacancy rates. I don't think we will see landlords offering the same incentives, like free rent for a month," she said.
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, {% [3 w- C2 ^6 m7 ?, r$ v rOne problem with the national number is it masks major regional differences, she said. The gap between owning and renting varied wildly across the country from a $31 monthly premium in Winnipeg in 2005 to $1,220 in Vancouver.
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Generally though, the trend across the country is home ownership costs are rising faster than rental rates." o0 S9 b4 H. F. [
- E \' C0 I7 k h! {6 X2 lBetween 2000 and 2005, rental costs have increased nationwide at a 1.3% annual pace. During the same period, home ownership costs nationwide increased 2.7% annually.
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2 \' |! Z- y( AOne side affect of declining affordability has been a slew of new mortgage products that have had the effect of lowering the monthly carrying costs of a loan. More and more consumers are buying products that allow them to pay off their mortgage based on a 35-year payment plan as opposed to a 25-year plan, which had been the norm for years.
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Ms. Warren noted that the $1,304 monthly mortgage costs for a $250,000 home with a $25,000 down payment would go down to $1,073 per month under a 35-year plan.
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1 N9 ]4 N& L' PReal estate author Don Campbell said there is no question renting has become a better deal for consumers over the last few years. "When interest rates come back down, the pendulum will swing back to the homeowner," he said.& H$ ~! c9 o7 N: \ }! R
+ i- |# h+ w! c t$ L nHowever, Mr. Campbell said apartments are affected by rent controls in many markets.! Q6 S& L# E( T- u; M
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"In markets in the West, where it is not as controlled, rental rates are starting to take off. A two-bedroom unit in a 1970 building in Fort McMurray is $1,500, and that's in the middle of nowhere. Even basic townhouses in Edmonton that rented for $800 last year are up over $1,000," he said.; ?. i! ]! J" m1 o" E
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* L! X5 M* h% W4 ^( C X' NDisclaimer: This is just published research data and do not express my position. |
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