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2007年房价上涨15%

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发表于 2007-1-11 19:22 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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& H& o) u4 p& yThu, January 11, 2007% A0 p3 k: S6 x! s! X5 X
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Price is still rightEdmonton Real Estate Board president expects a 15% climb in 2007
* D" w/ c0 u4 K3 gBy NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
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They're changing the guard down at the Edmonton real estate palace. ! r, x# Z" x1 l2 n) P! }

5 p( N# P& o# K. {Madeline Sarafinchan is out. Carolyn Pratt is taking over the Edmonton Real Estate Board president's gavel - the kind of blunt instrument that some realtors, I suspect, would like to use on ComFree Edmonton upstart Travis Holowach. More on that later.
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) H0 z& F) ^2 G8 d' @+ a6 zBut first, the EREB president's bold predictions and fearless forecasts.   J' Q  l. r% r( D3 |! s
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Don't expect a repeat of last year's housing boom where condo and single family dwelling prices spiked an incredible 52%. Pratt is now calling for a more modest increase of 15%. 1 f4 O3 O( M2 [1 q- h3 P
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'CONTINUED DEMAND'
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& J. Z2 q( B  B& x1 a+ y"We feel the increase will come because there will be continued demand, consumer confidence, a very robust economy and low interest rates," Pratt whooped at the EREB's New Year's kick-off conference at the Westin. "All the factors are there for another terrific year." ! V$ @& f+ z1 I( R, w) K7 e

( T8 |1 v* _, P+ Y/ eShe predicted that the total number of residential sales isn't expected to increase in 2007 - despite thousands of pot-of-gold seekers still flocking to the capital region from across the country as Ontario continues to sputter.
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"There just won't be enough houses to sell," she sighed.
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) @, S8 Y# H* g+ r) F& UCanada Mortgage and Housing Corporation senior analyst Richard Goatcher was also talking a good-news-bad-news scenario at the board meeting.
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$ ~' q( z9 K! u* e8 q) `"The big issue is, are we going to see continued in-migration into the city with the volumes we had last year?" Goatcher said. His expectation is "somewhat less." 8 y* D+ B. ^. [% C1 i( `

6 g, S% H+ B0 B# y2 ]2 FStill, total new-house starts will be "fairly similar" to last year's pace. 2006 turned out to be a record year. So was 2005. But Goatcher is predicting a 5% decrease in house starts.
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8 p1 U8 h+ C+ t/ s* d"A lot of it is due to capacity issues," he said. Developers are running out of serviced lots in some areas. Some homebuilders "got a little overstretched" during last year's house-building frenzy.
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1 r& c! w7 p+ }7 I"There are too many shortages in the system," he shrugged.   f+ u% n( h0 o" m. `. b8 ~
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"But it's still going to be very, very strong," he quickly added, with the average new-home selling price ramping up by 20%.
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NO PRICE BOOM REPEAT
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He also doesn't see a repeat of the 2006 price boom in the resale market, which he described as "unsustainable." , ^! `; @0 {) q; _4 D, h2 N2 L

6 i4 _/ r2 r" @! w' }' vExpect a more gentle 10% increase - mainly because many potential buyers are now being priced out of the market - even with zero down payment and 40-year mortgages.
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# s/ {5 b) f6 i$ @Over at ComFree Edmonton, president Travis Holowach was also celebrating what he described as a "steaming red hot" real estate market, and another "record-setting" year for his commission-free real estate service. % L4 m- \$ d9 ]

4 _: k/ U: ~  iHis 2006 wind-up report shows 4,375 total sales and 5,721 new listings, up 74% from 2005 - clearly sucking up a lot of the inventory that would otherwise have gone to an EREB realtor.
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6 l0 X  m3 w1 C) d1 N. A0 g"Our growing presence in the marketplace is having a strong impact on the competition," Holowach winked.
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So strong that the Alberta Real Estate Association launched a complaint with Alberta Government Services claiming ComFree was bending the truth about its market share. ' |0 d4 U8 ]/ O9 z8 L  ~( g7 ]

% l4 \  @0 ~8 o, Q3 A' S" HYesterday ComFree was still claiming 30% share of the residential market. And "commissions saved" of $82 million from his sell-it-yourself operation. Which, of course, is what the battle is really all about. * t* M2 X& c  H) i
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"We do 95% of the sales in the real estate market," Pratt countered.
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Let the good times roll. / z8 c; u( H4 m$ h; `: a1 i

+ G: @, j! L) F2 P2 g1 i# I& _Previous story: Bottom Line  N. }% ?+ e! L7 l
Next story: Building permits hit record
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    This site is updated by 4:00 a.m. MST each day and includes stories and columns from the day's print edition of The Edmonton Sun.  
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+ ^- C- v6 `5 G* h. kCopyright © 2006, Canoe Inc. All rights reserved. Test
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发表于 2007-1-11 20:36 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-12 20:00 | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:29 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队 追求完美
房价涨, 那么地税也一定会涨吗?
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发表于 2007-1-14 18:44 | 显示全部楼层

Everyone should buy another house as you can have 15% return in a year.

It sounds a very good investment.
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发表于 2007-1-14 22:48 | 显示全部楼层
Where is 醉酒 ?' k; D  ?, g  q  p
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