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Ron Chalmers, The Edmonton Journal$ |& d' C7 g; I' I$ N# {% S/ C/ a
Published: Tuesday, April 03, 20076 I, c K2 v" ~+ F" @( M( ]. Q! _
) l9 c- m" S* A2 o+ j7 s# F9 xEDMONTON - Most Albertans think this is a bad time to buy a house -- but a good time to buy major household items.
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Leger Marketing surveyed 900 Alberta consumers for PricewaterhouseCoopers, in February, asking about the economy.; P3 H4 }3 \. p* D
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Responses were compiled on a 200-point scale, with scores above 100 indicating optimism that conditions are good or will improve, and lower scores revealing pessimism that conditions are bad or will worsen.
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Is this a good time to buy a house in Alberta?
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v% l& l- M: \ F' @. z& v* @8 @No, not according to the sample's composite score of 71, showing significant doubt.
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Leger's report noted "the relatively pessimistic sentiment regarding interest rates, combined with the fact that the housing market in Alberta has boomed over the last two years."
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When asked specifically about interest rates, the sample scored 66, with a widely-shared belief that rates will rise.6 |' |* h9 q9 {* r" @
- _3 }; B# w. m2 O( y$ v7 G! FA question about household incomes drew a score of 141, as most people expected incomes to rise.) S& v h% k o% g4 h
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The sample scored 161 -- overwhelmingly affirmative -- when asked whether this is a good time to buy major household items "reflecting the fact that many Albertans are experiencing unprecedented levels of disposable income," the report said.2 R# v" m5 ?5 B2 D8 y: V7 U
3 {5 W3 s- F! M) B( eThe prospect for future unemployment was highly optimistic at 127 -- although it's hard to imagine how unemployment could fall any lower.( N R0 n3 r& n1 v% W3 G0 @. p
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A related online survey of 420 Alberta business leaders similarly found optimism about fiscal conditions, current and future business conditions, and future unemployment -- all pushed by "the hot Alberta economy," the Leger report said.
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Among those several measures, it found that fiscal expectations were the least positive, "which may be attributed in part to the fact that Alberta has a new premier in place, creating uncertainty in relation to fiscal conditions if compared to the previous Klein administration."
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* f3 J/ V0 B& i+ ] _5 c2 X7 y" RThe business sample, like the consumer sample, expected interest rates to rise.
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( k; ^0 K7 @& J# k+ q0 yBarry James, PricewaterhouseCoopers' managing partner in Edmonton, urged borrowers to consider the risk of higher rates.
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1 d, L, b5 [! S/ z+ J/ T8 A3 E"If you're going to make a large spend, ask yourself what one or two or three more points would cost," he suggested. |
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