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http://www.edmontonjournal.com/b ... tml?__lsa=701c-0f3d
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/ A' ~, ~' n( R+ e: u- M Calgary commercial real estate remains strong despite dropping oil price
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By Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald, Calgary Herald December 1, 2014
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: X9 w; S5 P2 H6 EThere is optimism for long-term growth in Calgary’s commercial real estate market despite some short-term pain due to dropping energy prices, says a new report by CBRE Limited.
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“Despite the drop in oil prices in the latter half of 2014, there’s a sense of long-term momentum and growth in Calgary,” said CBRE executive vice-president Greg Kwong.4 ^( F* P$ A* _) D' G
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The report said labour shortages seem to be the major factor tempering the optimism and growth fuelled by the energy boom, even with fluctuations in financial markets and a reduction in energy prices.
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1 S0 p1 {7 {5 t3 d/ HIt said construction in all sectors – office space, hotels, industrial, retail – is infusing new supply into the market and is expected to be absorbed quite comfortably.
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7 l% w; |- N% T9 O7 `' ?$ a- i5 yNew supply has been good for both leasing and investment sales.4 z7 |5 y! U' R, }+ |1 O8 @8 c6 g
) m) N; j2 u7 m8 c. m# m Q$ _; C“We’re very optimistic on the industrial and retail markets,” said Kwong. “Rental rates will continue to grow and we’re expecting growth in absorption and vacancy to drop over the next year.”6 I7 |* p3 X4 g& w. g
% U. v) ^: l+ H8 Y3 RDowntown office leasing, which is mostly in the sublet market, is expected to cool slightly given the tepid energy market, added CBRE.1 Q4 a# B- s. M* L- C1 G; h* `# O
( C6 c0 ~2 v( U. U( e2 pKwong said there are huge amounts of capital – local, national and international – chasing product to buy in Calgary.5 @% g3 f E5 r( A& Q: l: U
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“I’m continually surprised by the amount of global recognition we get for a city our size. A number of years ago, the word got out that Calgary is an international market that offers plenty of opportunities,” he said.! I7 `- [# J1 ^% E* C4 s/ G( [
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Calgary is second to Toronto in square feet per capita for both office space and industrial space. Office space per capita is 27.1 in Toronto and 20 in Calgary. Industrial square footage per capita is 134.1 in Toronto and 102.5 in Calgary." k' p+ [( z1 D, b
. p8 n+ p$ A; ]: Z+ u# EThe CBRE report forecasts the Calgary downtown office vacancy rate to rise from 8.6 per cent this year to 9.2 per cent next year. For the suburban market, the vacancy rate is expected to jump to 12.3 per cent in 2015 from 10.9 per cent this year. And CBRE is forecasting the industrial real estate market’s availability rate will rise from 5.1 per cent in 2014 to 5.4 per cent next year.
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8 f j: _/ T4 _* c @: ?5 ^1 CIn terms of investment, the value of transactions in the commercial real estate market is expected to drop slightly to $2.275 billion in 2015 from $2.304 billion this year.
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发表于 2014-12-10 16:34
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